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ECB’s Nagel says restrictive policy cannot be ruled out

The Bundesbank President and European Central Bank (ECB) member Joachim Nagel crossed the wires at a financial event in London on Tuesday, where he acknowledged that high energy prices had driven inflation off its 2026 target.

Nagel added that he is not concerned about the labour market and added that “rates are still in neutral territory,” and recognized that he can’t exclude the possibility that the EC needs to turn mildly restrictive.

Key highlights:

I am not so concerned about labour market developments

We are conducting monetary policy in between constructive ambiguity and forward guidance

I do not see too much uncertainty in markets about what drives our decision making

ECB rates are still in neutral territory, cannot exclude that we will need to go into mild restrictive territory

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.14%0.17%-0.02%0.21%0.03%-0.24%-0.09%
EUR-0.14%0.03%-0.13%0.08%-0.11%-0.35%-0.22%
GBP-0.17%-0.03%-0.19%0.04%-0.14%-0.41%-0.25%
JPY0.02%0.13%0.19%0.22%0.05%-0.24%-0.06%
CAD-0.21%-0.08%-0.04%-0.22%-0.17%-0.44%-0.27%
AUD-0.03%0.11%0.14%-0.05%0.17%-0.27%-0.10%
NZD0.24%0.35%0.41%0.24%0.44%0.27%0.16%
CHF0.09%0.22%0.25%0.06%0.27%0.10%-0.16%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

ECB FAQs

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region. The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro. QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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