|

ECB’s Kocher: Next decisions will be either hike or hold

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martin Kocher said in the European trade on Wednesday that the next monetary policy move by the central bank will either be a hold or a hike, citing that higher wages could keep inflationary pressures elevated.

Additional Remarks

Wage deals could keep inflation elevated.

Inflation threat lower, not completely contained.

Market reaction

No immediate reaction was observed in the Euro (EUR) after ECB Kocher's comments. At press time, EUR/USD trades 0.22% lower at around 1.1395.

Kocher flags wage risks as ECB keeps hike option alive

FXS Speechtracker shows Kocher’s latest score at 7.1, notably above the historic average of 5.9, signaling a more hawkish tone than usual. The warning that wage deals could keep inflation elevated and that the next decisions will be either hike or hold underscores a clear bias against early easing, supporting a firmer Euro backdrop.

By stating that the inflation threat is lower but not completely contained, Kocher reinforces the case for keeping restrictive policy on the table. This combination of wage vigilance and a live hike option suggests upside risks for Euro rates and limits downside for the Euro in the near term.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD renews two-month lows near 0.6950 after Australian CPI data

AUD/USD is renewing two-month lows near 0.6950 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as below-expectations August Australian underlying CPI data pours cold water on expectations for further RBA interest rate hikes. Chinese PMI data also fail to inspire the Australian Dollar, despite a pause in the US Dollar advance.

USD/JPY drops below 157.00 as intervention risks counter Japan's weak data

USD/JPY keeps losses below 157.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as hawkish BoJ expectations, along with intervention risks, underpin the Japanese Yen, countering dismal domestic factory output and retail sales data. Meanwhile, a broad US Dollar retreat also collaborates to the pair's downside.

Gold consolidates below $4,200, looks to US ADP and PCE

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's recovery from an eight-week low, consolidating below $4,200 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The overnight slide in oil prices eased the US Treasury bond rout, supporting the bullion. However, Fed rate-hike bets and inflationary concerns keep bond yields near multi-year highs. Moreover, geopolitical uncertainties underpin the safe-haven US Dollar, which, in turn, limits bullion.

Ethereum sees profit-taking near $2,700 ahead of key US economic data
Ethereum (ETH) has shown signs of profit-taking near $2,700 over the past few days, with rising exchange deposits and a slowdown in exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows ahead of US inflation and labor market data releases. The top altcoin's Exchange Reserves, which track the total amount of a crypto asset held across exchange wallets, have increased by roughly 125K ETH since Friday.
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?