|

Crude Oil Futures: Room for further losses near term

Considering advanced prints from CME Group for crude oil futures markets, open interest resumed the uptrend and went up by around 20.6K contracts on Wednesday, quickly reversing the previous daily drop. Volume followed suit and rose to the highest level since February 24 2022 at 1.752M contracts, up for the third session in a row.

WTI: Next on the downside comes $62.50

Prices of the WTI plummeted below the $66.00 mark per barrel for the first time since December 2021 on Wednesday. The sharp retracement was on the back of increasing open interest and volume and leaves the door open to extra losses in the very near term. A deeper drop should target the December 2021 low at $62.46 (December 2). However, the proximity of the oversold territory carries the potential to spark a near-term bounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold extends its struggle with $4,400, but bullish bias intact

Gold is holding the previous recovery from near $4,300 on early Monday, struggling around the key $4,400 level. However, buyers retain control as the new week kicks in, with all eyes on the Middle East updates and the Minutes of the US Federal Reserve July monetary policy meeting.

BTC/USD price outlook: Bitcoin navigating between arc levels. Potential continuation toward $58,000
Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 1D chart, Bitcoin is trading between the 0.5 Arc and 0.618 Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price has cleared the 0.5 Arc and is progressing toward the 0.618 Arc, suggesting continued movement toward the next Arc boundary. Metric
US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Economic cracks challenge Fed rate bets

It was a strange week for the US Dollar: while the geopolitical situation has remained largely unchanged, with the usual back-and-forth between the US, Iran, and occasional third parties, disappointing domestic data have re-emerged, reducing expectations of potential tightening by the Federal Reserve in the next few months.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.