Could Anthropic delay its IPO as investors question valuation and AI risks?
Anthropic is approaching a critical stage in its planned initial public offering.
The Claude developer has been preparing to begin its investor roadshow during the week of November 9, followed by a possible listing later in November.
That timeline is now facing more scrutiny.
Some potential investors are questioning whether Anthropic should proceed on schedule as technology stocks weaken and concerns around artificial intelligence valuations increase.
The debate does not mean the IPO has been delayed.
But it shows that the market is becoming less willing to accept aggressive AI valuations without stronger evidence of sustainable growth.
Anthropic is still preparing for a November IPO
Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on October 26.
The company plans to list its Class A shares on Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.
Anthropic then submitted an amended S-1 on November 2.
The number of shares offered and the final IPO price range have not yet been disclosed.
This means one of the most important parts of the offering is still missing.
Investors know much more about Anthropic's financial performance than they did several weeks ago.
They still do not know what valuation the company will ultimately ask public market investors to accept.
A $1.5 trillion valuation is facing resistance
Recent discussions have placed Anthropic's potential IPO valuation around $1.5 trillion.
Some investors now view that level as too aggressive.
The concern comes at a difficult moment for AI stocks.
Technology shares have faced renewed pressure as investors question high infrastructure spending, rising debt and the returns being generated by large AI investments.
Anthropic is not a data center company.
But it faces a similar problem.
Running frontier AI models requires enormous computing capacity.
The company needs continued access to chips, cloud infrastructure and power while also funding research into increasingly expensive models.
That makes valuation particularly important.
Investors are not only buying Anthropic's current revenue.
They are paying for an expectation that growth will remain extremely strong for years.
Growth is still strong but investors want more evidence
Anthropic's IPO filing showed extraordinary revenue growth.
Revenue reached $16.3 billion during the first six months of 2026.
That compared with about $1.2 billion during the same period a year earlier.
The business is clearly expanding quickly.
The issue is whether that pace can continue.
Anthropic's updated filing did not include October revenue data.
Potential investors are watching that number closely because recent growth has shown signs of slowing from earlier levels.
A strong October figure could support the valuation case.
A weaker number could give investors more reason to demand a discount before the IPO.
This is becoming one of the most important questions ahead of the roadshow.
The $80 billion loss still needs context
Anthropic also reported a net loss of more than $80 billion during the first half of the year.
That headline figure looks alarming.
Most of the loss did not come from the normal operation of the business.
More than $72 billion came from changes in the fair value of convertible notes, derivative liabilities and other financial instruments as Anthropic's valuation increased.
The operating picture was very different.
Anthropic reported an operating loss of about $693 million during the first half of 2026.
Adjusted operating income was positive.
That distinction matters for IPO investors.
The company remains expensive to operate, but the headline net loss does not accurately describe the performance of its core business.
AI market sentiment has changed
Anthropic is also entering public markets at a different moment from the one investors saw earlier this year.
AI demand remains strong.
But investors are becoming more selective.
Recent earnings reports from major technology companies have shown that strong AI revenue alone does not always support higher valuations.
The market is increasingly focused on cash flow, infrastructure spending and returns on invested capital.
That change affects Anthropic directly.
Its position near the frontier of AI gives it strong growth potential.
It also means the company must continue spending heavily to remain competitive with OpenAI, Google and other model developers.
The IPO will force public investors to decide how much that growth is worth.
Pre IPO markets are already pricing the uncertainty
Anthropic shares are not yet publicly traded.
But crypto markets have already created ways for traders to speculate on its future valuation.
MEXC, for example, offers an ANTHROPICUSDT perpetual contract based on Anthropic's pre IPO valuation.
At the time of writing, the contract is trading around the $1,500 level, broadly reflecting a market implied valuation near $1.5 trillion.
MEXC also operates an Anthropic Pre IPO Launchpad product that gives eligible users mirrored economic exposure to the eventual listing price.
Neither product represents ownership of Anthropic shares.
They are useful mainly as another window into market expectations before the official IPO price is known.
That distinction is important.
Pre IPO derivatives can react immediately to changes in sentiment.
The actual IPO will ultimately be priced through the traditional bookbuilding process led by Anthropic and its underwriters.
Pre IPO prices could become more useful as the roadshow begins
Right now, Anthropic's pre IPO markets are trading without an official price range.
That limits how much information can be taken from them.
The situation could change once the roadshow begins.
If Anthropic publishes a valuation range below current pre IPO expectations, traders may need to reprice those contracts.
If demand from institutional investors remains strong and the company maintains an aggressive valuation, the gap could move in the opposite direction.
This makes the next several days particularly important.
The market is moving from speculation about Anthropic's IPO toward actual price discovery.
Could Anthropic delay the IPO?
A delay remains possible.
Anthropic itself has not announced one.
The current plan still points toward a November listing.
But an IPO timetable is never guaranteed.
Weak market conditions can lead companies to reduce their valuation, change the number of shares offered or postpone a listing entirely.
Anthropic now needs to balance two goals.
It wants access to public capital.
It also wants to avoid entering the market at a valuation that investors consider unsustainable.
That makes the upcoming roadshow more important than the original S-1 filing.
The filing told investors what Anthropic has built.
The roadshow will reveal how much the market is actually willing to pay for it.
For now, the Anthropic IPO remains on track.
But the conversation has changed.
The question is no longer whether investors want exposure to one of the world's leading AI companies.
It is what price they are willing to accept.
Author

Mindy
MEXC
Mindy is a Digital Asset Market Analyst at MEXC, covering cryptocurrency market trends, macroeconomic developments, derivatives positioning, and digital asset market structure.


















