Copper and Aluminum set to slide on short-term – TDS

The industrial metals continue their descent from their recent euphoric highs, Ryan McKay, Senior Commodity Strategist at TDS, notes.

Copper is losing ground, Aluminum to see demand above $2,454/t

“With few signs of physical tightness, and increasing inventory levels across the globe, Copper remains at risk given macro traders have already built an extremely bloated long position. There are early signs of money managers unwinding their large long positions.”

“At the same time, the recent length accumulated from top Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) funds has also been reduced heavily in the overnight session. Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) joined the selling party in Copper, however the margin of safety before the next round of selling remains at $8,990/t.”

“Additionally, we’re seeing China's Aluminum supply hit record levels. While the metal could see modest buying activity from CTAs above $2,454/t, there is a more significant trigger that could see funds liquidate approximately 10% of their historic max position below $2,389/t.”