|

Canadian Dollar remains rangebound as weaker US Dollar offsets lower Oil prices

  • USD/CAD trades little changed as both the US Dollar and the Canadian Dollar face headwinds.
  • Lower Oil prices weigh on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar.
  • A softer US Dollar limits the pair's upside despite stronger-than-expected US Jobless Claims.

USD/CAD trades around 1.4170 on Thursday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, as weakness in the US Dollar (USD) offsets the negative impact of lower Oil prices on the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

The Canadian Dollar remains under pressure as Crude Oil prices extend their corrective pullback after the recent geopolitical-driven rally. Although tensions in the Middle East remain elevated after the United States (US) and Iran exchanged military strikes for a second consecutive day, traders appear to be unwinding part of their recent bullish Oil positions, weighing on the commodity-linked Loonie.

Still, downside pressure on the Canadian currency remains limited by expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) could resume tightening later this year. The central bank left its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% in June, while swap markets now price roughly a 60% chance of a rate hike before year-end, up from around 40% earlier this week.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret said that "the CAD has performed relatively well through the overnight volatility," adding that negative sentiment toward the Canadian Dollar continues to moderate despite recent market swings.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar also weakens on Thursday, preventing USD/CAD from moving higher despite stronger-than-expected US labor market data. The US Department of Labor reported that Initial Jobless Claims declined to 215K in the week ending July 4, below the previous week's revised 217K reading and the market forecast of 218K. Continuing Jobless Claims edged up slightly to 1.814M.

The positive labor market data provides some support to the Greenback by reinforcing the view that the US economy remains resilient. However, the US Dollar continues to ease as investors remain focused on broader market sentiment and geopolitical developments, leaving USD/CAD trapped in a narrow range around 1.4170.

Canadian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.16%-0.06%-0.16%0.03%-0.16%-0.87%-0.17%
EUR0.16%0.11%0.00%0.18%0.02%-0.68%0.00%
GBP0.06%-0.11%-0.11%0.08%-0.08%-0.79%-0.10%
JPY0.16%0.00%0.11%0.18%0.04%-0.70%0.00%
CAD-0.03%-0.18%-0.08%-0.18%-0.16%-0.87%-0.17%
AUD0.16%-0.02%0.08%-0.04%0.16%-0.71%-0.01%
NZD0.87%0.68%0.79%0.70%0.87%0.71%0.69%
CHF0.17%-0.00%0.10%-0.01%0.17%0.01%-0.69%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: Recovery appears capped by 0.7000

AUD/USD has reversed a multi-day positive streak, briefly revisiting the 0.6940 region before trimming part of those gains to end the day modestly on the back foot. The better tone in the Greenback has kept the pair under pressure, which has so far met decent contention in the vicinity of the 0.6900 zone. Moving forward, the Melbourne Institute’s Consumer Inflation Expectations is next on tap in Oz.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold falls to two‑month low near $4,100 on stronger US Dollar

Gold price tumbles to a near two-month low around $4,110 during the early Asian session on Thursday. A stronger US Dollar and elevated US Treasury bond yields reduce the appeal of the non-yielding metal. Traders will take more cues from the speeches of Federal Reserve officials, including Christopher Waller and Alberto Musalem.

Ethereum drops below $2,600 as Tom Lee says BitMine will end buying spree
Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion (BMNR) will halt its weekly accumulation of the top altcoin over the next few months. BitMine Chairman Thomas Lee, speaking at the Token2049 conference in Singapore, said that the company will stop buying when its stash reaches 5% of ETH's circulating supply. He noted that BitMine will reach that threshold if it acquires an additional 100,000 ETH.
The US 10-year just hit a 2002 high. Does it give the US Dollar its next leg?

In 2026, the US Dollar Index, which measures the Dollar against six major currencies, has risen on days when Federal Reserve rate expectations pushed Treasury yields up and barely moved on days when something else did. The last stretch of the 10-year yield's climb to its highest since 2002 was the second kind.

The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.