British Pound remains on the front foot vs JPY as Mideast risks counter intervention fears

GBP/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and stalls the overnight pullback from the weekly high.
Economic risks stemming from the Middle East undermine the JPY and support the cross.
The divergent BoJ-BoE policy expectations might cap spot prices amid the UK political crisis.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The GBP/JPY cross turns positive for the fourth straight day following an intraday dip to the 214.35-214.30 region on Thursday and draws support from a combination of factors. The British Pound (GBP) benefits from a mildly softer US Dollar (USD), which, along with the underlying bearish sentiment surrounding the Japanese Yen (JPY), continues to act as a tailwind for the currency pair.

Investors remain worried that Japan's economy will remain under strain amid the ongoing Middle East conflict and continued disruptions to energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. In fact, Iran announced the closure of the strategic waterway after the US launched a fresh wave of strikes across the country under orders from US President Donald Trump. This has been a key factor behind the JPY's relative underperformance and offering support to the GBP/JPY cross.

However, speculations that Japanese authorities might step in again to prop up the domestic currency hold back the JPY bears from placing aggressive bets. This, along with the divergent Bank of Japan (BoJ)-Bank of England (BoE) policy expectations, keeps the GBP/JPY cross below the 215.00 psychological mark and the weekly high set on Wednesday. Investors seem convinced that the BoJ will hike interest rates at its upcoming monetary policy meeting on June 15-16.

In contrast, traders have been scaling back their expectations for more aggressive rate hikes by the Bank of England (BoE) in reaction to softer UK consumer inflation figures and an unexpected rise in the UK Unemployment Rate. Furthermore, the UK political uncertainty, amid challenges to UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership, could act as a headwind for the GBP and contribute to capping the GBP/JPY cross, warranting caution before positioning for further gains.

Japanese Yen Price Last 30 days

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies last 30 days. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

	USD	EUR	GBP	JPY	CAD	AUD	NZD	CHF
USD		2.01%	1.69%	2.15%	2.05%	3.49%	2.91%	2.66%
EUR	-2.01%		-0.34%	0.04%	0.02%	1.44%	0.88%	0.62%
GBP	-1.69%	0.34%		0.41%	0.36%	1.79%	1.25%	0.97%
JPY	-2.15%	-0.04%	-0.41%		-0.07%	1.34%	0.65%	0.56%
CAD	-2.05%	-0.02%	-0.36%	0.07%		1.36%	0.72%	0.60%
AUD	-3.49%	-1.44%	-1.79%	-1.34%	-1.36%		-0.51%	-0.79%
NZD	-2.91%	-0.88%	-1.25%	-0.65%	-0.72%	0.51%		-0.30%
CHF	-2.66%	-0.62%	-0.97%	-0.56%	-0.60%	0.79%	0.30%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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