|

British Pound four-day slide deepens as US yields fuel US Dollar rally

  • GBP/USD extends losses as hawkish Fed rhetoric supports the Greenback.
  • Jobless claims beat forecasts, reinforcing a resilient US jobs market picture.
  • Oil surge and Hormuz tensions intensify global inflation concerns.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) drops for the fourth straight trading day versus the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, down 0.21%, as Federal Reserve (Fed) officials remain hawkish and US jobs data shows labor market strength. GBP/USD trades at 1.3213 after hitting a daily bottom of 1.3209, its lowest level since June 29.

Sterling sinks as hawkish Fed signals and strong jobs reinforce Dollar demand

Sentiment is downbeat as global bond yields rise, a headwind for stocks worldwide. The US 10-year Treasury yield is up 5 basis points to 5.162%, boosting the Greenback. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the buck versus six currencies, is up 0.19% to 101.30.

Investors pricing in further tightening by major central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, sent government bond yields soaring, as Oil prices jumped over 4% amid a lack of progress in talks between the US and Iran.

In fact, the tone turned harsh. Iran's Major General Safavi said that the Strait of Hormuz would never reopen in the same way, adding that Iran and Oman had reached an agreement on a mechanism to manage the strait.

Aside from this, Federal Reserve officials crossed the wires. New York Fed John Williams said that it is reasonable to see another rate hike this year, echoing comments from Philadelphia Fed Anna Paulson, who said “more rate hikes may be needed” to quell inflation.

Earlier, Cleveland Fed Beth Hammack warned that inflation pressures remain tilted to the upside, reaffirming her hawkish stance.

Meanwhile, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending September 19 came at 197K, below the previous week's reading of 198K and forecasts of 201K

In the UK, business activity cooled in September, while inflationary pressures built, exerting pressure on the Bank of England (BoE). The BoE stood pat at its September meeting, but Governor Bailey opened the door to rate increases.

Ahead, the UK economic docket will feature the GfK Consumer Confidence for September. Across the pond, US Durable Goods Orders and Consumer Sentiment will provide an update on the economy.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Chart Analysis GBP/USD
GBP/USD daily chart

In the daily chart, GBP/USD trades at 1.3232, extending a clear bearish bias as spot holds beneath the cluster of major simple moving averages around 1.3470 and below multiple broken trend-line supports that now act as resistance between roughly 1.3331 and 1.3512. The Relative Strength Index (14) at 25.1 sits in oversold territory, hinting that downside momentum is stretched but not yet signaling any meaningful recovery while price action remains capped by these overhead technical barriers.

On the topside, initial resistance emerges at the former downtrend break near 1.3331, followed by the descending resistance trend line around 1.3446 and the grouped 50/100/200-day simple moving averages near 1.3470. Above that zone, the prior rising support lines turned resistance at 1.3512 and 1.3720 define a broader ceiling, and only a sustained move back over these levels would ease the current bearish pressure and open room for a more durable rebound.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.02%0.05%0.21%0.21%0.14%0.05%0.25%
EUR0.02%0.06%0.25%0.18%0.16%0.02%0.24%
GBP-0.05%-0.06%0.19%0.12%0.09%-0.05%0.19%
JPY-0.21%-0.25%-0.19%-0.05%-0.10%-0.25%-0.01%
CAD-0.21%-0.18%-0.12%0.05%-0.05%-0.20%0.05%
AUD-0.14%-0.16%-0.09%0.10%0.05%-0.14%0.10%
NZD-0.05%-0.02%0.05%0.25%0.20%0.14%0.26%
CHF-0.25%-0.24%-0.19%0.01%-0.05%-0.10%-0.26%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.