British Pound: Downside risks below 1.3340 against US Dollar – UOB

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect GBP/USD to consolidate intraday between 1.3350 and 1.3400 after a modest pullback from recent lows. However, for the coming weeks, Quek Ser Leang warns that rapidly building downside momentum means a daily close below 1.3340 could open 1.3300. The strong resistance cap has been lowered to 1.3435, while the broader multi‑month view remains range‑bound.

Pound-Dollar pressured but still range bound

"24-HOUR VIEW: GBP dropped sharply to a low of 1.3360 two days ago. Yesterday, when GBP was at 1.3375, we indicated that “the rapid increase in downward momentum suggests GBP could continue to decline.” However, we highlighted that “last week’s low, near 1.3340, is expected to provide firm support.” GBP weakened less than expected to 1.3355 before closing largely unchanged at 1.3376 (+0.01%). With momentum indicators turning flat, we expect GBP to consolidate today, most likely between 1.3350 and 1.3400."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: Following the sharp decline in GBP two days ago, we highlighted yesterday (22 Jul, spot at 1.3375) that “downward momentum is increasing rapidly, and if GBP closes below 1.3340, it is likely to decline further to 1.3300.” We added, “the likelihood of GBP closing below 1.3340 will remain intact as long as the ‘strong resistance’ level, now at 1.3455, is not breached.” We continue to hold the same view, but we are revising the ‘strong resistance’ level to 1.3435."

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