|

British Pound climbs as Trump eases tensions, lifting risk mood

  • Trump’s intervention cools Middle East fears, supporting equity risk appetite.
  • JOLTS Job Openings jump reinforces US labor resilience before key services data.
  • BoE hawks warn inflation battle may require faster action.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) rises by about 0.19% on Tuesday against the US Dollar (USD) as traders remain optimistic about a peace deal between the US and Iran despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. The GBP/USD pair trades at around 1.3470 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3446.

GBP/USD gains as softer Oil offsets resilient US jobs data

The financial markets remain focused on geopolitics. The intervention by US President Donald Trump in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict tempered investors' fears, which are driving US equity markets to retest all-time highs. Therefore, Oil prices fell, as shown by the US crude Oil benchmark, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI), which was down 0.40% at $92.07.

Nevertheless, traders are still cautious due to the fragility of the ceasefire between the US and Iran.

Data from the US showed that the labor market remains resilient, as the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) rose in April to its highest level in nearly two years. Vacancies rose to 7.618 million from 6.887 million in March, exceeding forecasts of 6.88 million. Worth noting that layoffs fell to 1.7 million, or 1.1%.

The data reassures Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers of the solidity of the labor market. Cleveland Fed Beth Hammack said that “job data points to stability” and that the “unemployment rate is around full employment levels.” She remains highly concerned about inflation, saying that the Fed may need to act “soon” if inflation doesn’t abate.

Across the pond, Bank of England (BoE) policymakers crossed the wires. Megan Greene was hawkish, saying that she sees a growing case for rate hikes, saying that “the speed of the response is arguably just as important as its size.”

Earlier, Governor Andrew Bailey said the public must be confident that the central bank will drive inflation to its 2% target.

In the meantime, money markets had priced in a less hawkish BoE, with traders expecting the bank to hold borrowing costs steady at the June 18 meeting. However, towards the end of the year, investors had already priced in 40 basis points of easing, according to Prime Terminal data.

Source: Prime Terminal

On Wednesday, the UK schedule will feature the BoE Monetary Policy Report Hearings. In the US, investors will eye Factory Orders, the ISM Services PMI, and the Fed’s Beige Book.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Chart Analysis GBP/USD
GBP/USD daily chart

In the daily chart, GBP/USD trades at 1.3475, holding a mildly bullish near-term bias as it remains above the latest triple simple moving average (SMA) proxy around 1.3449 and continues to respect the broader upward-support trend structure originating near 1.3159. The pair is still trading beneath the key downward resistance trend-line break area at 1.3600, suggesting upside is capped for now, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index, hovering just above 50 around 50.9, hints at modest but not overstretched bullish momentum.

On the downside, immediate support is seen around the 1.3475 area, with the clustered triple SMA support near 1.3449 reinforcing this nearby floor; a break below there would expose the upward trend-line break region at 1.3354, ahead of the more distant structural base drawn from the 1.3159 area. On the topside, initial resistance is defined by the downward resistance trend line around 1.3600, and a daily close above this barrier would be needed to reopen a more convincing advance in the broader uptrend.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.05%-0.14%0.14%-0.09%-0.38%0.03%-0.03%
EUR0.05%-0.07%0.19%-0.05%-0.32%0.10%0.03%
GBP0.14%0.07%0.26%0.03%-0.20%0.20%0.08%
JPY-0.14%-0.19%-0.26%-0.23%-0.50%-0.11%-0.19%
CAD0.09%0.05%-0.03%0.23%-0.27%0.12%0.03%
AUD0.38%0.32%0.20%0.50%0.27%0.39%0.30%
NZD-0.03%-0.10%-0.20%0.11%-0.12%-0.39%-0.10%
CHF0.03%-0.03%-0.08%0.19%-0.03%-0.30%0.10%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

CLARITY Act approval odds sink fast ahead of Congressional hearing
The United States (US) House Financial Services Committee’s Subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology, and Artificial Intelligence (AI) is holding a hearing titled “Building the Future of Finance: How the CLARITY Act Unlocks Innovation” on Friday.
Week ahead – Could technology earnings revive equities as geopolitical risks linger?

Oil prices rise, but the dollar posts losses as Middle East tensions persist. US earnings, the ECB and UK newsflow dominate next week’s agenda. US equity markets face a pivotal test as focus shifts to technology earnings.

-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.