|

Brent: Geopolitical risk drives price surge – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen and colleagues note Brent Oil has broken above $100 per barrel for the first time since July as US-Iran strikes escalate and concerns grow over the Strait of Hormuz reopening. The bank highlights that investors are now pricing a more protracted period of high Oil prices, with 6‑month Brent futures also reaching their highest level since early June.

Geopolitics fuel extended oil rally

"Markets had another eventful session yesterday, with stagflation fears mounting after Brent crude oil moved above $100/bbl for the first time since July."

"As in recent days, the main catalyst for the oil move was the latest US-Iran strikes."

"So that raised doubts that the Strait of Hormuz would reopen soon, and there was a separate WSJ report overnight that White House advisers had privately raised the prospect with President Trump that the war could continue for the remainder of his term. So Brent crude (+3.36%) jumped to $101.21/bbl by the close, its highest level since May."

"And investors also moved to price in a more protracted period of high oil prices, with the 6-month Brent future (+1.55%) rising to its highest since early June, at $86.09/bbl."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD extends the range play above 0.7200 as traders await US inflation data

AUD/USD is seen extending its consolidative price move above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Thursday amid mixed cues. Rising RBA rate-hike bets keep the Aussie close to its highest level since May 14. However, hawkish Fed expectations and escalating US-Iran tensions offer some support to the US Dollar, capping the currency pair as traders await US inflation figures.


USD/JPY consolidates around 153.50 as bears turn cautious ahead of US inflation

USD/JPY stabilizes above 153.50 during the Asian session on Thursday, but remains near a seven-month low set earlier this week as hawkish BoJ repricing continues to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, rising September Fed rate-hike bets and escalating US-Iran tensions help ease US Dollar selling pressure, offering some support to the currency pair ahead of US inflation figures.

Gold sticks to gains, eyes $4,450 as USD remains depressed ahead of US inflation data

Gold turns higher following an intraday dip to sub-$4,400 levels, and moves further away from a one-week low touched the previous day. The commodity, however, remains below the $4,450 pivotal point as bulls seem hesitant ahead of US inflation figures. The US Producer Price Index report will be published later today, while the US Consumer Price Index is due on Friday.

Raydium's rally signals trend reversal amid network growth, buyback

Raydium maintains a firm bullish tone, posting nearly 9% gains, and extending its 41% rally from Sunday. Solana-based Decentralized Exchange is witnessing a surge in network activity and growth amid new token launches. The technical outlook for Raydium signals a potential upside toward $1.50 as momentum holds firm despite overbought conditions.

European Central Bank to resume interest rate hikes in September as inflation, energy risks rise

The European Central Bank is expected to raise the interest rate on the Main Refinancing Operations and the Deposit Facility by 25 basis points to 2.65% and 2.50%, respectively. The ECB will announce the decision on Thursday at 12:15 GMT.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.