|

BoE Preview: Maintain our forecast of a 75 bps hike – Societe Generale

Analysts at Societe Generale provide a sneak peek at what they expect from the Bank of England’s (BoE) ‘Super Thursday’.

Also read: BoE Interest Rate Decision Preview: A close call between 50 bps and 75 bps, GBP/USD set to suffer

Key quotes

“We maintain our forecast of a 75 bps hike on the way to a peak of 4.5% at the March 2023 meeting.“

“Now that the markets have settled down and pension funds seem to have weathered their collateral problems after the Bank’s successful intervention, it looks likely that active gilt sales will commence, as twice rescheduled, on 1 November.”

“The revised plan excludes sales at the long end because of the impact of the pension fund issue on that part of the curve.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains capped at 1.3600, awaits key US event risks

GBP/USD is consolidating in Friday's European trading after facing rejection at 1.3600 earlier on. Traders remain on the sidelines and refrain from placing fresh bets on the major ahead of the critical US Nonfarm Payrolls benchmark revision and Fed Chair Warsh's debut at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Both events could ramp up market volatility.

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1650 ahead of NFP revision, Warsh

EUR/USD is treading water at around 1.1650 in the European session on Friday. The pair faces headwinds as the US Dollar clings to its recent recovery ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls benchmark revision and Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech. However, the downside appears cushioned by hawkish ECB expectations.

Gold holds gains above $4,600 as bullish bias prevails

Gold extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $4,610 during the European hours. The price of the precious metal is remaining within the ascending channel pattern, suggesting a persistent bullish bias. The XAU/USD pair is retaining a constructive bullish bias as spot holds above both the nine-period and 50-period EMAs, keeping the short- and medium-term trends aligned to the upside.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September. The Jackson Hole symposium, held from August 27 to 29, has the official theme “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy.”

Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.