|

Australian Dollar : Downside risk versus US Dollar within range – UOB

UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD gapped down to 0.7205 before rebounding to close near 0.7250, with intraday risks skewed toward a retest of 0.7220 while 0.7205 is expected to hold. Over 1–3 weeks, they see scope for the pair to edge higher but capped below 0.7280.

Aussie Dollar trades inside defined bands

"24-HOUR VIEW: On the open yesterday, AUD gapped down to a low of 0.7205 and then staged a strong recovery to 0.7260. AUD closed largely unchanged at 0.7250 (+0.04%). There has been a slight increase in downward momentum, and there is a chance for AUD to test 0.7220. Based on the momentum, AUD is unlikely to threaten the 0.7205 low. To sustain the mild momentum, AUD must hold below 0.7260, with minor resistance at 0.7250."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: After soaring to a high of 0.7277 last Wednesday, AUD has traded mostly in a range. While the firm underlying tone suggests AUD could edge higher, any advance is unlikely to threaten the major resistance at 0.7280. On the downside, a break of 0.7180 would indicate that the current mild upward pressure has eased."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends recovery, trades above 1.3200

GBP/USD holds on to modest gains above 1.3200 on Friday, building on gains seen in the previous day. Still, Cable struggles to build on its recovery as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and ongoing volatility in global technology stocks.

EUR/USD pops to daily highs near 1.1420

EUR/USD extends Thursday's recovery and climbs past the 1.1400 yardstick at the end of the week. The pair’s recovery comes as the US Dollar remains on the back foot, while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold advances to two-day highs, targets $4,100

Gold trades in a tight range above $4,000 per troy ounce on Friday, adding to the recent recovery. The precious metal, however, finds it difficult to attract fresh buyers as expectations for a hawkish Fed continue to strengthen.

Ripple price clings to $1 as long liquidations deepen bearish trend

Ripple (XRP) trades near the key psychological support level of $1 after losing more than 8% so far this week. CoinGlass liquidation data shows that over 97% XRP long positions were wiped out over the past 24 hours. In addition, derivatives metrics continue to favor the bears.

The Mag 7 trade is ending – The AI cash-flow divorce is just beginning

The AI boom is not weakening. The market is simply becoming less willing to reward companies for writing ever-larger infrastructure cheques without a clearer cash-return timetable. Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta are becoming the financing arm of the AI cycle, while chips, memory, networking and power infrastructure increasingly look like the early cash beneficiaries.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.