|

Australian Dollar advances to 0.7000 as Middle East de-escalation weighs on the USD

  • AUD/USD rises around 0.33% on Monday, trading near 0.7000 at the time of writing.
  • Hopes for a de-escalation between the US and Iran weigh on the US Dollar and support risk-sensitive assets.
  • Investors now turn their attention to this week's Fed decision and upcoming Australian inflation data.

AUD/USD trades around 0.7000 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.33% on the day, supported by a weaker US Dollar (USD) as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East show signs of easing. The pair also benefits from improving expectations for Australian monetary policy, while traders remain cautious ahead of this week's Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting.

The US Dollar weakens following reports suggesting renewed diplomatic efforts between the United States (US) and Iran, reducing demand for safe-haven assets. Lower Oil prices are also helping to ease US inflation concerns, limiting support for the Greenback.

Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to draw support from Australia's strong June employment report, which reinforces expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) could deliver another interest rate hike. Investors are now awaiting the June and second-quarter inflation reports, which could determine the extent of the central bank's next policy tightening move.

Despite the supportive backdrop for the Australian currency, market participants remain reluctant to take significant positions ahead of the Fed's policy decision. The US central bank is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged this week, although investors will closely monitor any guidance on the timing of future monetary policy moves.

Developments in the Middle East also remain an important market driver. While the current pause between Washington and Tehran has improved market sentiment, risks to global energy supply persist, particularly after the Houthis claimed responsibility for attacks on Saudi facilities along the Red Sea.

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.25%-0.02%-0.18%0.09%-0.31%-0.15%-0.43%
EUR0.25%0.20%0.04%0.33%-0.07%0.12%-0.20%
GBP0.02%-0.20%-0.13%0.14%-0.26%-0.11%-0.38%
JPY0.18%-0.04%0.13%0.25%-0.13%0.02%-0.24%
CAD-0.09%-0.33%-0.14%-0.25%-0.39%-0.23%-0.51%
AUD0.31%0.07%0.26%0.13%0.39%0.18%-0.12%
NZD0.15%-0.12%0.11%-0.02%0.23%-0.18%-0.31%
CHF0.43%0.20%0.38%0.24%0.51%0.12%0.31%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges lower to near 0.6850 on robust US jobs data

The AUD/USD pair trades with mild losses around 0.6860 during the early Asian session on Monday. Stronger-than-expected US employment data provide some support to the US Dollar against the Australian Dollar. Traders brace for China’s Consumer Price Index inflation report, which is due later in the day.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Week ahead: Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts
It has been a rollercoaster week, with the initial market nervousness being replaced by strong risk appetite on Wednesday, which proved very short-lived, as risk assets suffered on Thursday. The result of the US midterm elections, with the Democrats performing exceptionally well and taking control of Congress, confused investors, although it is too early to judge if current trends will persist.
Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.