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Australia sees CPI inflation at 5% in 2025/26, 2.5% through 2029/30

Following are the highlights of Australia's 2026/27 budget and the Treasury's key economic forecasts released on Tuesday, per Reuters.

  • Australia sees 2025/26 budget deficit at A$28.3 bln vs a$36.8 bln projected.
  • Australia sees 2026/27 budget deficit at A$31.5 bln, 2027/28 deficit A$31.0 bln.
  • Australia sees net debt rising to 21.9% of GDP in 2029/30, gross debt to 35.6%.
  • Australia sees GDP growth at 2.25% in 2025/26, 1.75% 2026/27, 2.25% 2027/28.
  • Australia sees CPI inflation at 5% in 2025/26, 2.5% through 2029/30.
  • Australia Treasurer Chalmers: This budget helps, rather than harms, the fight against inflation.
  • Australia sees unemployment rate at 4.25% in 2025/26, 4.5% in 2026/27 and 2027/28.

Market reaction

The AUD/USD showed no immediate reaction to the budget announcement and was last seen trading at 0.7220, losing 0.4% on the day.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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