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AUDJPY Price Analysis: An evening star formation in the daily chart exacerbates a fall towards 93.00

  • The AUDJPY extended its losses to two-straight days courtesy of risk aversion.
  • AUDJPY Price Analysis: Break below 94.00 could tumble the pair towards November’s low at 92.96.

The AUDJPY dropped below the 50 and the 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on Wednesday, amidst a risk-off impulse courtesy of the US Republican Party failing to sweep the midterm elections, as speculations mounted that a Republican majority would suggest few major policy changes in the next two years. At the time of writing, the AUDJPY is trading at 94.14, registering minuscule gains as the Asian session begins.

AUDJPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The AUDJPY  is range-bound, trapped within the 94.00-95.60 range for the last four trading days, unable to break above/below the range, even though market sentiment fluctuates, and kept global equities volatile. Of note, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 49 turned bearish, suggesting that sellers are gathering momentum. However, unless Japanese Yen buyers break beneath the AUDJPY 94.00, that would open the door for further losses. Otherwise, the cross-currency pair will remain subdued within the previously mentioned area.

During the last couple of days, the AUDJPY shifted neutral-to-downward biased in the near term. The AUDJPY Wednesday’s price action depicts the pair dived below the 50, 100, and 200-EMAs, laying the ground for further downside. So the AUDJPU path of least resistance is downwards. Further cementing the bearish bias case is the RSI at bearish territory and not even close to the 50-midline.

Hence, the AUDJPY’s first support would be the 94.00 psychological level. Break below will expose the S1 daily pivot at 93.84, followed by the S2 daily pivot level at 93.58.

AUDJPY Key Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price94.15
Today Daily Change-0.57
Today Daily Change %-0.60
Today daily open94.72
 
Trends
Daily SMA2094.09
Daily SMA5094.59
Daily SMA10094.25
Daily SMA20091.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High95.2
Previous Daily Low94.37
Previous Weekly High95.56
Previous Weekly Low92.96
Previous Monthly High95.75
Previous Monthly Low90.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%94.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%94.88
Daily Pivot Point S194.33
Daily Pivot Point S293.94
Daily Pivot Point S393.5
Daily Pivot Point R195.15
Daily Pivot Point R295.59
Daily Pivot Point R395.98

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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