|

AUD/USD's weakness contained at 0.7100, picks up to 0.7130 area

AUD/USD bounces up at 0.7100 and returns to 0.7130 area.

The aussie is set for a weekly gain despite the dovish RBA.

US elections and RBA to push the AUD below 0.7000 - Westpac

Australian dollar’s bearish reaction from one-week highs at 0.7155 area has been supported above 0.7100 and the pair managed to pick up to 0.7130 near the weekly close, as risk aversion eased and the US dollar resumed its near-term downtrend.

The aussie appreciates on US dollar weakness

The AUD/USD appreciated on Friday and is set to close the week with a 0.8% advance favoured by a weaker US dollar. The greenback has remained on the defensive for most of the week, amid the uncertainty about the outcome of the US elections and the lack of progress on the US coronavirus stimulus negotiations

The upside trend was halted on the early US session and the aussie trimmed gains with the US dollar staging a moderate comeback as risk appetite faltered, and the main Wall Street indexes dropped into negative territory.

On the other hand, the RBA’s dovish monetary policy stance is keeping a lid on Aussies’ upside attempts. The bank confirmed that monetary tightening had been discussed on the last meeting, earlier last week, which has opened the doors for a rate cut in November and is curbing AUD demand.

RBA and US elections to push AUD/USD below 0.7000 – Westpac

The FX analysis team at Westpac remains negative on the pair, anticipating a reversal below 0.7000: “The prospect of a huge RBA policy move coming just hours before polls close in the US on November 3 adds to the risks that this ‘Double Header’ event may yet push the AUD/USD pair below 0.70, at least in the short term though record Chinese steel production driving very strong iron ore prices and a rising RMB may limit any dips.”

Technical levels to watch

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold battles key support amid renewed Iran and Fed hike risks

Gold is resuming Friday’s steep downside early Monday as the NFP week kicks in. US Dollar sees a profit-taking pullback, despite hawkish Fed’s Warsh and fresh Iran risks. Gold attacks 21-day SMA near $4,400 after Friday’s close below 200-day SMA; RSI is still bullish.

Week ahead: RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP
The US dollar staged a modest recovery this week, perhaps as traders decided to cover some of their short positions amid slightly stickier or in-line US PCE inflation numbers for July, confounding expectations of softer prints amid the softness revealed in the CPI data for the month.
Bitcoin slips below $78,000 – DEX tokens rally

Bitcoin price is trading above $77,000 on Monday, sustaining monthly gains of over 20% so far. The technical outlook for Bitcoin is bullish as the price holds above a crucial retracement support level at $76,706 amid broader market risk-on sentiment. Decentralized Exchange tokens, Uniswap and PancakeSwap, emerge as top performers over the last 24 hours, eyeing further gains.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.