AUD/USD strengthens as job creation offsets unemployment rise, Fed limits upside

AUD/USD strengthens despite an unexpected rise in the Australian Unemployment Rate.
Strong job creation partly offsets signs of labor market weakening.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance caps the pair’s upside potential.

Ghiles Guezout FXStreet

AUD/USD trades around 0.7050 on Thursday, up 0.34% on the day, supported by the resilience of the Australian Dollar (AUD) following the release of Australia’s employment data.

Figures published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed the Unemployment Rate rising to 4.3% in February from 4.1% in January, exceeding market expectations. This deterioration in labor market conditions could, in theory, weigh on the currency by reducing expectations of further monetary tightening. Money markets have already slightly adjusted their outlook, lowering the probability of a rate hike in May.

However, this apparent weakness is largely offset by strong job creation. The Australian economy added 48.9K jobs over the month, well above forecasts of 20.3K, highlighting still-solid underlying momentum. This mix of signals keeps uncertainty around the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy path elevated, although its relatively hawkish bias continues to support the Aussie.

The RBA also warned about external risks, particularly rising tensions in the Middle East, which could disrupt energy markets and increase risks to global growth. These factors may influence economic and monetary policy prospects in the coming months.

On the US side, a pause in the US Dollar’s (USD) recent rally provides additional support to the pair. However, the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains a cautious stance, keeping rates unchanged within the 3.50%-3.75% range while emphasizing persistent inflation risks. Chair Jerome Powell stressed that further progress on inflation is needed before considering any rate cuts, reinforcing the higher-for-longer narrative.

In this context, any further US Dollar depreciation may remain limited, which could restrain AUD/USD’s upward momentum in the near term.

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

	USD	EUR	GBP	JPY	CAD	AUD	NZD	CHF
USD		-0.50%	-0.74%	-1.01%	-0.06%	-0.26%	-0.65%	-0.14%
EUR	0.50%		-0.25%	-0.49%	0.45%	0.23%	-0.13%	0.35%
GBP	0.74%	0.25%		-0.25%	0.70%	0.49%	0.10%	0.60%
JPY	1.01%	0.49%	0.25%		0.94%	0.71%	0.30%	0.86%
CAD	0.06%	-0.45%	-0.70%	-0.94%		-0.21%	-0.62%	-0.10%
AUD	0.26%	-0.23%	-0.49%	-0.71%	0.21%		-0.40%	0.12%
NZD	0.65%	0.13%	-0.10%	-0.30%	0.62%	0.40%		0.50%
CHF	0.14%	-0.35%	-0.60%	-0.86%	0.10%	-0.12%	-0.50%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

FXStreet

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

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