AUD/USD jumps back closer to weekly high, eyes 0.7000 amid heavy USD selling

AUD/USD catches fresh bids on Thursday and rallies back closer to the weekly high.
The uncertainty over the Fed’s rate-hike path weighs on the USD and offers support.
The risk-on mood further undermines the buck and benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The AUD/USD pair regains positive traction on Thursday and maintains its strong bid tone through the mid-European session. The pair is currently trading around the 0.6975-0.6980 region, just a few pips below the weekly high touched on Wednesday.

A combination of factors triggers a sharp US Dollar corrective pullback from a one-month high, which, in turn, is seen acting as a tailwind for the AUD/USD pair. The uncertainty over the Fed's rate-hike path drags the US Treasury bond yields lower. This, along with the risk-on impulse, weighs on the safe-haven buck and benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie.

Investors turned optimistic amid signs of easing inflationary pressures and hopes that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) may cut interest rates further during the second quarter. The Australian Dollar is also underpinned by the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish outlook, signalling further rate increases will be needed to ensure that inflation returns to target.

That said, the prospects for further policy tightening by the Fed support prospects for the emergence of some USD dip-buying, which, in turn, could cap the upside for the AUD/USD pair. In fact, a slew of FOMC members on Wednesday echoed Fed Chair Jerome Powell's view that additional rate hikes were likely warranted to fully gain control of inflation.

Furthermore, growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn might keep a lid on any optimism in the markets. This, in turn, could lend some support to the greenback and contribute to keeping a lid on the AUD/USD AUD/USD pair, at least for the time being. Traders now look forward to the release of the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data from the US.

This, along with the US bond yields, will influence the USD price dynamics and provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment might further contribute to producing short-term opportunities ahead of the RBA meeting minutes and the latest Chinese inflation figures, scheduled for release during the Asian session on Friday.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6979
Today Daily Change	0.0055
Today Daily Change %	0.79
Today daily open	0.6924

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.7006
Daily SMA50	0.6864
Daily SMA100	0.6677
Daily SMA200	0.6807

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6996
Previous Daily Low	0.6919
Previous Weekly High	0.7158
Previous Weekly Low	0.6919
Previous Monthly High	0.7143
Previous Monthly Low	0.6688
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6948
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6967
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6897
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6869
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6819
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6974
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.7023
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.7051

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Week ahead – RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP

Dollar rebounds ahead of ISM PMI and NFP data. RBNZ is expected to raise rates; focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC is set to remain on hold; will it raise rates in 2027?

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.