The spread between the US 10-year and three-month treasury yield turned negative on Friday and is currently seen at -0.02, the lowest since 2007.
The inverted yield curve is widely considered an advance indicator of recession. That said, the most important section of the US yield curve - the spread between the 10-year and two-year yield - is yet to invert. As of writing, the spread between the two is 12 basis points.
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