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XRP steadies as Ripple secures Australian license, retail interest climbs

  • XRP trades above the $1.38 daily open, reflecting a broadly steady cryptocurrency market.
  • Ripple has secured an Australian Financial Services License to expand payments across the APAC region.
  • Retail demand shows early signs of returning, with futures Open Interest rising to $2.43 billion on Thursday.

Ripple (XRP) shows subtle signs of regaining momentum above its daily open of $1.38 as cryptocurrency prices broadly recover. The remittance token hovers at $1.39 at the time of writing on Thursday, supported by a growing retail interest and Ripple’s expansion in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region.

Ripple secures Australian license to scale payments

Ripple has announced that the company has secured an Australian Financial Services License (AFSL) to expand its regulated footprint in the APAC region.

The license gives Ripple the mandate to expand its payment services in Australia by connecting fintechs and enterprises seeking faster, more efficient and secure cross-border value transfers, all within a regulated framework.

However, before the license is issued, Ripple is expected to finalize the acquisition of BC Payments Australia Pty, a financial services provider.

Retail demand returns amid a potential XRP breakout

Interest in XRP has remained subdued in 2026, as reflected by futures Open Interest (OI) falling to $2.11 billion on March 4 before rising to an average of $2.43 billion on Thursday. The increase in OI mirrors XRP’s growth from the Iran war-triggered crash to $1.27 to the current price of $1.39.

A steady rise in the OI suggests that investor confidence is improving, potentially sustaining bullish momentum.

XRP Futures OI | Source: CoinGlass

Technical outlook: XRP challenges broader bearish trend

XRP edges up above $1.39, with the near-term bias remaining cautiously bullish. The remittance token holds below the clustered 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which are all trending lower and frame a medium-term downtrend. Moreover, the downward-sloping resistance trend line from the record high of $3.66 continues to cap the broader structure, keeping rallies within a corrective context despite the recent bounce.

Momentum appears subdued rather than capitulative, given that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains above the signal line but below the neutral line on the daily chart. Modest green histogram bars prompt traders to lean into risk. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 46 sits just under the neutral band on the same chart, suggesting only weak buying pressure within a prevailing bearish framework.

XRP/USDT daily chart

Initial resistance emerges near the recent swing area around $1.41, aligning with Tuesday's high. A break above that threshold exposes XRP to the 50-day EMA at $1.52, where a sustained move through it would be needed to challenge the broader bearish trend as highlighted by the downward sloping 100-day EMA at $1.73 and the 200-day EMA at $1.98.

On the downside, immediate support is seen around the $1.36–$1.35 demand region, with a daily close below this band reinforcing the downtrend and paving the way toward $1.30, then the $1.27 area. As long as price holds below the falling 50-day EMA and the resistance trend line, rallies would be vulnerable to renewed selling into these overhead levels.

Cryptocurrency metrics FAQs

The developer or creator of each cryptocurrency decides on the total number of tokens that can be minted or issued. Only a certain number of these assets can be minted by mining, staking or other mechanisms. This is defined by the algorithm of the underlying blockchain technology. On the other hand, circulating supply can also be decreased via actions such as burning tokens, or mistakenly sending assets to addresses of other incompatible blockchains.

Market capitalization is the result of multiplying the circulating supply of a certain asset by the asset’s current market value.

Trading volume refers to the total number of tokens for a specific asset that has been transacted or exchanged between buyers and sellers within set trading hours, for example, 24 hours. It is used to gauge market sentiment, this metric combines all volumes on centralized exchanges and decentralized exchanges. Increasing trading volume often denotes the demand for a certain asset as more people are buying and selling the cryptocurrency.

Funding rates are a concept designed to encourage traders to take positions and ensure perpetual contract prices match spot markets. It defines a mechanism by exchanges to ensure that future prices and index prices periodic payments regularly converge. When the funding rate is positive, the price of the perpetual contract is higher than the mark price. This means traders who are bullish and have opened long positions pay traders who are in short positions. On the other hand, a negative funding rate means perpetual prices are below the mark price, and hence traders with short positions pay traders who have opened long positions.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

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