Hyperliquid Price Forecast: Trendline break and bearish signals point to deeper correction

Hyperliquid (HYPE) extends its correction, trading below $39 at the time of writing on Thursday after closing below the rising trendline earlier this week. Mixed signals from the derivatives markets put a lid on HYPE’s recovery. On the technical side, bearish momentum strengthens with bears aiming for levels below $37.

Mixed sentiment keeps bulls cautious

Hyperliquid’s derivatives data shows mixed signals, keeping the bulls cautious. CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for HYPE reads 0.70 on Thursday, the lowest level over a month. This ratio, being below one, reflects bearish sentiment in the market, as more traders are betting on the asset’s price to fall.

Meanwhile, the funding rates support improving sentiment. CoinGlass’ OI-Weighted Funding Rate data for HYPE flipped positive on Wednesday and reads 0.0078% on Thursday. This positive rate indicates that longs are paying shorts and projecting a bullish sentiment.

This combination of derivatives metrics suggests indecision among HYPE investors and a lack of clear directional bias, which limits the likelihood of a sustained recovery.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE bears are in control of the momentum

Hyperliquid price broke and closed below the rising trendline (drawn by connecting multiple highs since the end of January) on Tuesday and corrected by over 7% through the next day. At the time of writing on Thursday, HYPE is extending the correction, trading below $39.

If HYPE continues its pullback and closes below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $37.88, it could extend the losses toward the 200-day EMA at $36.09.

Momentum indicators also show a bearish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 37, slipping below the neutral level, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators on the same chart showed a bearish crossover on Monday, projecting a negative outlook.

If Hyperliquid recovers, it could extend the advance toward the 50-day EMA at $40.11.