|

Oil prices are kick starting the week by trading in positive territory

Oil

Oil prices are kick starting the week by trading in positive territory. This is mainly because Hungary continues to resist an EU plan to prohibit Russian oil imports. This is delaying the bloc's complete package of penalties aimed at President Vladimir Putin for his conflict in Ukraine. A meeting of the EU's 27 ambassadors concluded without a deal yesterday, with negotiations anticipated to resume in the following days.

Speculators are not betting that a embargo on Russian oil being shipped to third nations might be postponed unless the Group of Seven commits to similar restrictions. The EU's plan calls for a six-month embargo on crude oil and an early January restriction on refined fuels.

Forex

Dollar: Nothing is off the table, this was the message from the Richmond President Thomas Barkin. Remember, recently the Fed Charman, Jerome Powell has assured the market players that they need to worry about an interest rate hike of 75 basis points as the Fed doesn’t anticipate such an aggressive monetary policy. However, Barkin said "I'll just say our tempo right now is fairly rapid, and if you go by the chairman's pace, that's a pretty accelerated pace." If we hear a similar rhetoric from other Fed members in the coming week, we could see the dollar index picking up more steam.

Sterling: The Bank Of England increased the interest rate for the fourth consecutive time this year last time. Despite their 25 basis interest rate hike, Sterling continues to trader weaker against most G10 countries as most of them know that the currency is in a difficult spot as the UK’s economy is facing a stagflation environment. Sterling bears are back in command, with our $1.25-$1.20 range surpassed ahead of schedule and negative momentum prevailing. The next target is $1.20, but euro-sterling bulls are in good shape since the focus appears to be on sterling's downward trend for the time being.

The housing market in the United Kingdom is bracing for challenges as rising borrowing costs is only making matters more difficult for consumers. The additional cost-of-living issue are further straining house purchasers' affordability. Mortgage lenders are hiking interest rates from historic lows, following the Bank of England's lead. This makes owning a house more expensive at a time when costs for everything from electricity to clothing are seeing the highest levels of inflation since the 1980s.

Author

Naeem Aslam

Naeem Aslam

Zaye Capital Markets

Based in London, Naeem Aslam is the co-founder of CompareBroker.io and is well-known on financial TV with regular contributions on Bloomberg, CNBC, BBC, Fox Business, France24, Sky News, Al Jazeera and many other tier-one media across the globe.

More from Naeem Aslam
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD rises to 0.6950 as USD slips on Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the bounce toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. Fed Chair Warsh's comments reinforce the selling pressure on the US Dollar, allowing the pair to stretch higher. Warsh said that he remains committed to delivering price stability without giving away anything on future interest rate path.

USD/JPY falls in symc with USD, gives up 158.00 after Warsh's speech

USD/JPY has come under fresh selling pressure and gives up 158.00 in the Asian session on Friday amid the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling. Fed Chair Warsh's non-committal commentary on the future tightening path, weighs on the US Dollar and the pair.

Gold adds to Thursday's gains as softer bond yields drag USD to over one-week low

Gold attracts buyers for the second straight day on Friday amid a broadly weaker US Dollar, though it remains confined in a two-week-old range. The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, fell to a nearly two-week low as Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks at the Annual IMF and World Bank Group Meetings did little to alter the rate outlook.

Busy week for Ripple’s RLUSD: What changes for stablecoin holders?
Ripple’s RLUSD is gaining ground across institutional finance, with a major bank launching custody services, a new wallet integration making it easier for developers to build payments and agentic experiences on the network, and a brokerage platform planning to use the stablecoin for settlement.
Hot inflation, falling yields: A new test for global markets
Global markets are confronting a difficult combination: renewed inflation pressure, expensive capital and growing scrutiny of the investment supporting the AI boom. The most revealing development this week was the demand for government bonds even as US inflation accelerated. My assessment is that investors should treat this as a test of financing resilience.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.