|

Four reasons for the fall in WTI and Brent Crude Oil, US indices pessimistic on AI value [Video]

On Friday, we saw a jump in the price of crude, but the Monday open saw a huge fall with this $6 price gap.

Let’s take a look at why that happened.

In today’s Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex trading on AUDCAD, Gold, XAUUSD, AUDUSD, the S&P500, the NASDAQ, WTI, and Brent Crude Oil.

Firstly, we are seeing a cessation in military activity, and the market seems to be confident that this will continue.

Even though the Bab al-Mandab Strait in the Red Sea is still under threat, passage through the Strait of Hormuz has resumed to productive levels, driving prices lower.

Youtube preview

The downward momentum is also a result of speculators unwinding their positions, thereby accelerating the fall.

And, finally, global demand fundamentals do not look great, with forecasts seeming pessimistic.

But, as I said in the last video, the US administration would do itself a huge favour by getting the price of gas down before the November midterms.

Again, anything can happen between Iran and the US, so be careful.

Check out our last video with the link in the description.

Speaking of weak forecasts, let’s take a look at the US indices.

We have earnings reports from some very large companies today, but the real driver of the indices falling is pessimism over AI spending vs revenue.

Tomorrow and Wednesday, we have some major tech companies, like Apple, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft, reporting, so keep an eye on the US indices.

Technically, on the NASDAQ, we see price action stalling at support and an oversold stochastic oscillator, but keep an eye on the news.

Also affecting the indices, we have an interest rate decision from the US Fed tomorrow and, even though the forecast is neutral, there are rumours about an interest rate hike.

This will be bad for indices but good for USD.

Right now, we are seeing consistent USD strength.

Check all your USD major pairs like AUDUSD, where we might get a News Catalyst Trade opportunity tomorrow.

Gold opened with a gap at the Monday opened, but our technicals gave us a big hint on the reversal, and the gap was filled with the stronger USD.

However, are we looking at 2 technical options with an oversold stochastic oscillator and a lower trendline?

Or are we looking at a double top forming with the neckline at this key level?

We have been following this ranging market on AUDCAD in previous videos, and the upper trendline and support are still in play.

That’s all for now.

CFDs and FX are leveraged products, and your capital may be at risk.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays defensive near 1.3300 amid pre-Fed market caution

GBP/USD stays defensive near 1.3300 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair struggles as the US Dollar (USD) sits at monthly highs amid market caution ahead of the two-day US Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting, starting later this Tuesday.

EUR/USD hangs close to monthly lows near 1.1350 on USD strength

EUR/USD is consolidating near the monthly trough, trading near mid-1.1300s in the European morning on Tuesday, undermined by persistent US Dollar demand. Traders seem hesitant and await the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting before placing aggressive directional bets.

Gold languishes below $4,050; eyes further losses as focus remains on FOMC decision
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session on Tuesday and currently trades just below $4,050, down nearly 0.80% for the day. This follows the previous day's failure to find acceptance above the $4,100 mark and suggests that the path of least resistance for the bullion remains to the downside amid a bullish US Dollar (USD) undertone.
XRP and XLM extend correction as bearish pressure builds

Ripple and Stellar remain under pressure on Tuesday after losing over 4% and over 5%, respectively, the previous day. In addition, weakening momentum indicators and deteriorating derivatives metrics suggest sellers remain in control, raising the risk of further downside for both altcoins. Derivatives data shows a slight bearish tilt.

Asian stocks including KOSPI slide as AI doubts hit chipmakers
Asian stocks fall sharply on Tuesday as mounting skepticism over the massive financial returns on artificial intelligence spending triggered a widespread sell-off across global semiconductor shares. The tech-driven downturn rippled from Wall Street into Asian markets, while investors shifted toward safety, driving bond prices higher and sending oil lower.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.