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The GBP/USD pair finds some support near 1.3370 after a modest gap-down opening on Monday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains below 1.3400. Nevertheless, spot prices, for now, seem to have stalled the pullback from a nearly four-week high, around the 1.3450 area, touched on Friday amid mixed fundamental cues.
The EUR/USD pair edges lower to around 1.1400 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Federal Reserve Bank Governor Christopher Waller and European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel are set to speak later in the day.
Gold weakens back below $4,100 during the Asian session on Monday as a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran underpins the safe-haven US Dollar. Moreover, inflation worries stemming from rising Crude Oil prices cement expectations for a Fed rate hike in 2026 and further benefit the buck, exerting additional pressure on the non-yielding bullion. The commodity, however, holds above last week's swing low as traders seem hesitant ahead of this week's US inflation figures.
US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.
Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.
Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.
