|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Stalls near intervention area as bulls eye 160.00

  • USD/JPY extends seven-day rally but stalls near intervention zone.
  • RSI remains bullish, signaling upside momentum despite 160.00 intervention fears.
  • Break above 159.52 exposes 160.00 and 160.72 resistance levels.

USD/JPY rally extends for the seventh straight day, up 0.10% to a 12-day high of 159.25, despite growing fears of Japanese authorities intervening in FX markets. At the time of writing, the pair trades near 159.00.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Despite recovering, USD/JPY is poised to consolidate, capped by the line in the sand “intervention zone” around 159.00-160.00, which opens the door for sellers to step in and push the pair lower.

Momentum is bullish as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) an indication that further upside is seen.

If USD/JPY clears the April 29 daily low-turned-resistance at 159.52, traders can challenge the 160.00 mark. On further strength, the next resistance is the yearly high at 160.72.

Conversely, if USD/JPY slides past the 159.00 mark, it clears the path to the next area of interest, being the 50-day SMA at 158.80, followed by the 20-day SMA at 158.23. If those levels are taken out, the next stop would be 158.00, followed by the 100-day SMA at 157.49.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

USD/JPY daily chart

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.45%0.25%0.13%0.09%0.85%0.66%0.59%
EUR-0.45%-0.19%-0.30%-0.36%0.41%0.22%0.14%
GBP-0.25%0.19%-0.11%-0.16%0.60%0.42%0.34%
JPY-0.13%0.30%0.11%-0.06%0.71%0.55%0.45%
CAD-0.09%0.36%0.16%0.06%0.77%0.59%0.51%
AUD-0.85%-0.41%-0.60%-0.71%-0.77%-0.17%-0.26%
NZD-0.66%-0.22%-0.42%-0.55%-0.59%0.17%-0.09%
CHF-0.59%-0.14%-0.34%-0.45%-0.51%0.26%0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.