USD/JPY looks to build on bullish move beyond 137.00, 200 DMA on stronger USD

USD/JPY gains traction for the fifth straight day and climbs to over a two-week high on Wednesday.
Hawkish Fed expectations push the USD to a nearly two-month top and act as a tailwind for the pair.
The fundamental backdrop favours bulls and supports prospects for a further appreciating move.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The USD/JPY pair scales higher for the fifth successive day on Wednesday and climbs to over a two-week high during the early European session. Spot prices currently trade around the 137.00 round-figure mark, which bulls now awaiting a move beyond a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) before placing fresh bets.

The US Dollar (USD) continues to draw support from the recent hawkish remarks by several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and climbs to a nearly two-month high, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said on Tuesday that interest rates are not at a sufficiently restrictive level and that the central bank isn't at the spot to hold rates yet. This, in turn, reaffirms market expectations that the US central bank will keep interest rates higher for longer and provides a goodish lift to the Greenback.

The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, is weighed down by a more dovish stance adopted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). It is worth recalling that BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last week that it was too early to discuss specific plans for an exit from the massive stimulus program. This, along with a modest uptick in the US equity futures, undermines the JPY's safe-haven status and remains supportive of the USD/JPY pair's ongoing positive move. That said, a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields might hold back bulls from placing aggressive bets.

Nevertheless, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/JPY pair is to the upside. Hence, a subsequent strength back towards retesting the monthly swing high, near the 137.75-137.80 region, looks like a distinct possibility. Some follow-through buying beyond the YTD peak, around the 137.90 area touched in March, will mark a fresh bullish breakout and pave the way for a further appreciating move. Traders now look to the US housing market data - Building Permits and Housing Starts - for a fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	136.94
Today Daily Change	0.54
Today Daily Change %	0.40
Today daily open	136.4

Trends
Daily SMA20	135.01
Daily SMA50	133.74
Daily SMA100	132.98
Daily SMA200	137.04

Levels
Previous Daily High	136.68
Previous Daily Low	135.68
Previous Weekly High	135.77
Previous Weekly Low	133.74
Previous Monthly High	136.56
Previous Monthly Low	130.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	136.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	136.06
Daily Pivot Point S1	135.82
Daily Pivot Point S2	135.24
Daily Pivot Point S3	134.81
Daily Pivot Point R1	136.83
Daily Pivot Point R2	137.26
Daily Pivot Point R3	137.84

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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