|

USD/JPY: Intervention fears drive sharp gains – BNY

BNY’s Bob Savage highlights a sharp Japanese Yen (JPY) rally, with USD/JPY dropping as low as 155.04 before partially reversing, in a move widely seen as fresh official intervention. Authorities are viewed as defending the 160 level to curb speculative shorts. The report notes lingering doubts over Japanese fiscal plans and stresses that exchange rate stability remains a key policy focus.

Yen surge revives intervention speculation

"The Japanese yen surged to a two-month high overnight, strengthening by as much as 1.8% to 155.04 per dollar before partially reversing, prompting market speculation about renewed official intervention by Japanese authorities."

"Although officials have not confirmed any action, the price dynamics are widely interpreted as consistent with intervention, aimed at preventing a move toward 160 per dollar and discouraging speculative positioning against the yen."

"This highlights ongoing sensitivity around exchange rate stability."

"USD is lower on another apparent round of Japanese intervention, and oil is down 5% on hopes that the Strait of Hormuz will open to traffic again."

"The pressure of volatility and intervention in JPY leave some doubt about Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s plans for a “responsible extra budget.”"

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at two-month lows near 0.6950 after Australian CPI data

AUD/USD is sitting at two-month lows near 0.6950 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as below-expectations August Australian underlying CPI data pours cold water on expectations for further RBA interest rate hikes. Chinese PMI data also fail to inspire the Australian Dollar, despite a pause in the US Dollar advance.

USD/JPY stays weak below 157.00 amid Japanese intervention risks

USD/JPY keeps losses below 157.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as hawkish BoJ expectations, along with intervention risks, underpin the Japanese Yen, countering dismal domestic factory output and retail sales data. Meanwhile, a broad US Dollar retreat also collaborates to the pair's downside.

Gold flat lines below $4,200 as traders await US PCE data for Fed rate cues

Gold extends its consolidative price move heading into the European session, trading below the $4,200 mark amid mixed fundamental cues. Falling US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the two-month high, touched on Tuesday, and act as a tailwind for the commodity. However, hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations cap the upside as traders await important US macro data before placing fresh directional bets on the non-yielding bullion.

Aave Price consolidates below $161 as profit-taking emerges after 10% surge

Aave slips below $161 on Wednesday after surging more than 10% the previous day, with on-chain data suggesting increased profit-taking. Meanwhile, Aave founder Stani Kulechov is considering an AAVE token-burn mechanism under Aavenomics 3.0, adding a potential catalyst for AAVE.

US core PCE inflation set to rise in August, pressuring the Federal Reserve

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data for August on Wednesday at 12:30 GMT. Market participants closely watch the PCE Price Index because it is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation and could influence its policy outlook.

Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?