USD/INR Price Analysis: Greenback bulls set to print fresh all-time-highs


  • The asset is prepared to record all-time highs at 79.00.
  • A Bullish Flag formation has underpinned the greenback bulls.
  • Advancing 200-EMA adds to the upside filters.

The USD/INR pair has moved above 77.80 in its early trade. The pair is expected to rebound after a mild corrective move from Thursday’s high at 78.00. On a broader note, the asset is oscillating in a range of 77.34-78.12 for the past three weeks.

A Bullish Flag formation on a four-hour scale is underpinning the greenback bulls. The formation of a Bullish Flag denotes a consolidation phase after a vertical upside move. The north-side sheer move is been recorded from May’s low at 75.98. The consolidation phase of a Bullish Flag indicates an initiative buying structure in which the buyers initiate longs after the establishment of a bullish bias.

The asset is holding above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 77.68, which confirms a short-term bullish momentum. While, the 200-EMA at 77.31 is advancing swiftly, which warrants a longer trend is intact.

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the 40.00-60.00 range, which signals that the asset is awaiting a trigger for a decisive move.

Should the asset oversteps May’s high at 78.12, a breakout of a Bullish Flag will trigger, which will send the major into an uncharted territory towards the round-level resistance at 78.15, followed by the psychological resistance at 79.00.

On the flip side, the Indian rupee bulls could dictate the asset price if it drops below May 17 low at 77.34 decisively, which will send the asset towards May 3 high at 76.82. A breach of the latter will drag the asset further towards May 6 low at 75.98.

USD/INR four-hour chart

USD/INR

Overview
Today last price 77.815
Today Daily Change -0.0149
Today Daily Change % -0.02
Today daily open 77.8299
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 77.6159
Daily SMA50 76.884
Daily SMA100 76.2042
Daily SMA200 75.3981
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 78.023
Previous Daily Low 77.6795
Previous Weekly High 77.9419
Previous Weekly Low 77.3791
Previous Monthly High 78.12
Previous Monthly Low 75.9846
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 77.8918
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 77.8107
Daily Pivot Point S1 77.6653
Daily Pivot Point S2 77.5006
Daily Pivot Point S3 77.3218
Daily Pivot Point R1 78.0088
Daily Pivot Point R2 78.1876
Daily Pivot Point R3 78.3523

 

 

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