|

USD/CNY: Contrast between monetary easing stance and tightening bias to weigh on CNY – Commerzbank

CNY weakened sharply last week. Economists at Commerzbank expect Yuan to remain under downside pressure.

CNY weakness should remain in the near term

“Last Friday, the PBoC issued a statement that vowed to curb speculation and called for more stability in the foreign exchange market. The announcement came as a surprise given that the PBoC did not appear to be defending the CNY decisively.”

“While CNY appreciated temporarily against the Dollar following the PBoC statement, currency weakness should remain in the near term.”

“The contrast between China’s monetary easing stance and tightening bias of central banks in the US and Euro area will continue to weigh on CNY.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at three-week highs above 0.7000 on hawkish RBA-speak

AUD/USD holds a positive bias for the fourth straight day, trading above 0.7000 in the Asian session on Wednesday and at three-week highs. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's hawkish remarks and inflation concerns underpin the pair. However, the upside appears capped as the US Dollar attracts some buyers amid looming US-Iran uncertainty.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold extends losing spree as US bond yields hold ground

Gold maintains an offered tone heading into the European session, trading near the weekly low it touched earlier this Wednesday, with bears still awaiting a sustained break and acceptance below $4,100 before positioning for further losses. Inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices underpin prospects for further policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve. Furthermore, a modest US Dollar bounce from a near three-week low is seen weighing on the bullion.

Zcash's bullish reversal eyes $1,698 peak on NU7 upgrade
Zcash (ZEC) shows signs of bullish recovery above $1,200 on Wednesday, following a 9% rebound the previous day linked to the upcoming NU7 upgrade. Blockworks released a Zcash holders report on Tuesday, highlighting steady network growth. The technical outlook for ZEC is bullish, with bulls eyeing an extended rally toward $1,698.
US – Midterm update: Pre-election tail risk scenarios
With two weeks until the US midterm elections on 3 November, early voting has already opened in more than 40 states. Prediction markets are broadly unchanged since we published our Midterm update, 13 October. The prediction market Polymarket continues to see Democrats winning both chambers as the most likely outcome, with a 62.5% probability.
The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.