|

USD/CNH: Nex on the upside comes 7.1500 – UOB

In light of the recent price action, FX Strategists at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann and Quek Ser Leang suggest USD/CNH could advance to the 7.1500 region in the next few weeks.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “While our view for USD to strengthen yesterday was correct, we did not expect the upward acceleration as USD jumped easily above 7.0500 (high has been 7.0800). USD extended its advance during early Asian hours and a break of 7.1000 would not be surprising. The next level to watch is at 7.1200. Support is at 7.0730 followed by 7.0630.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We have held a positive view since the middle of last week. After USD pulled back sharply from 7.0427, we indicated on Monday (19 Sep, spot at 6.9980) that there is still chance for USD to advance to 7.0500. Our view was correct but we did not quite expect the rapid manner in which USD blew past 7.0500 yesterday. The price actions suggest USD is ready for the next up leg towards 7.1500, possibly to the 2020 high of 7.1960. Overall, only a break of 7.0400 (‘strong support’ level was at 6.9750 yesterday) would indicate that the USD strength has eased.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold sticks to modest losses amid Fed hike bets; holds above $4,100 ahead of US CPI

Gold meets fresh supply, eroding a part of the previous day's strong gains to the $4,150 resistance zone, albeit it holds above the $4,100 mark heading into the European session. Firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles to lure buyers amid mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran, offering some support to the commodity as traders seem hesitant ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.