|

USD/CHF to reach 0.95 on a three-month view – Rabobank

The FOMC will maintain the ‘higher for longer’ outlook for interest rate policy. Thus, economists at Rabobank expect the US Dollar to streghthen, driving EUR/USD and USD/CHF to 1.05 and 1.05 on a three-month view, respectively.

USD will remain underpinned this year

“Earlier this week, the hawkish tone of Chair Powell’s testimony led to an increase in market expectations that the Fed could hike interest rates by 50 bps at its March policy meeting. His tone was pared back a touch on the second leg of his hearing the following day when he indicated that the discussion about the size of the move was still in play.”

“For choice, we maintain the view that policymakers will be forced into holding rates higher for longer to push inflation back to the 2% level.”

“We maintain our expectation that the USD will remain underpinned this year. We see risk of dips to EUR/USD 1.05 on a three-month view and forecast USD/CHF at 0.95 in three months.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.