|

USD/CHF Price Forecasts: Rejected at 0.7800, approaches two-month lows at 0.7765

  • USD/CHF reverses Thursday's gains and approaches two-month lows at 0.7765.
  • The US Dollar is losing ground ahead of the release of April's Nonfarm Payrolls data.
  • USD bears are focusing on the 0.7750 support area.

The US Dollar (USD) resumes its broader bearish trend against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains and reaching levels a few pips above the two-month lows of 0.7765, as the market shifts its focus to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, due later on Friday. In Switzerland, the weak SECO Consumer Climate figures have failed to dent CHF strength.

April’s NFP data is expected to show a significant slowdown in employment creation, although the Unemployment Rate is forecast to remain steady at 4.3%. These figures will be scrutinized with interest for further insight into the US Federal Reserve’s next steps, as the divergences among the committee witnessed at last week’s monetary policy meeting have left investors wondering.

Technical Analysis: Bears eye the 0.7750 support area

Chart Analysis USD/CHF

USD/CHF keeps a bearish near-term bias with the pair unable to take a significant distance from two-month lows at 0.7765. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in 4-hour charts hovers around 38, hinting at weak demand, and a slightly positive Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading near the zero line only suggests shallow corrective potential rather than a sustained bullish reversal.

Bears are likely to be tested at the mentioned 0.7765 level (Thursday's low), although the main target is the March 10 low at 0.7748. A confirmation below here would bring the February 27 low, at the 0.7675 area, into focus.

Upside attempts have been capped at 0.7809 earlier on Friday, closing the path towards the weekly top near 0.7850. Further up, the April 13 and 29 highs near 0.7930 seem out of reach today.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.38%-0.44%-0.16%-0.14%-0.39%-0.47%-0.35%
EUR0.38%-0.08%0.22%0.22%-0.02%-0.05%0.04%
GBP0.44%0.08%0.32%0.31%0.06%0.03%0.12%
JPY0.16%-0.22%-0.32%0.02%-0.26%-0.30%-0.19%
CAD0.14%-0.22%-0.31%-0.02%-0.28%-0.31%-0.20%
AUD0.39%0.02%-0.06%0.26%0.28%-0.03%0.06%
NZD0.47%0.05%-0.03%0.30%0.31%0.03%0.09%
CHF0.35%-0.04%-0.12%0.19%0.20%-0.06%-0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD weakens below 1.3250 as UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigns

The GBP/USD pair loses ground to near 1.3245 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Political uncertainty in the United Kingdom continues to weigh on the British Pound against the US Dollar. The preliminary readings of the S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index from both the US and the UK are due later on Tuesday. 


Euro declines below 1.1450 on US-Iran peace deal uncertainty

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.1425. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro amid risk-off sentiment and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance. Traders will keep an eye on the preliminary readings of the Purchasing Managers Index from Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States later on Tuesday.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, seems vulnerable amid Fed hike bets, bullish USD

Gold adds to its Asian session losses, and drops to a nearly two-week low, around the $4,115 region in the last hour amid a bullish US Dollar. Despite positive signals from US-Iran peace talks, widespread skepticism remains toward a final deal. This helps the USD in preserving its recent strong gains to the highest level since May 2025.

Bitcoin holds steady as ETF outflows decline – DEXE and TIA extend gains

Bitcoin hovers above $64,000 at press time on Tuesday, holding steady after a roughly 4% drop last week. Data shows that institutional outflows are easing, suggesting broader market recovery potential, while DeXe and Celestia have emerged as frontrunners over the last 24 hours.

Are American consumers actually “resilient“?
A common label gets placed upon American buyers: resilient. Just last week, Marianne Lake, the CEO of Consumer and Community Banking — and a member of the JPMorganChase Operating Committee — affirmed this sentiment. While she did note some weariness regarding future inflation’s effect on consumers, she reiterated the common adjective: resilient.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.