|

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Rejected at SMA cluster, bears target 0.78

  • USD/CHF capped by 20-, 50-, and 100-day SMA confluence.
  • RSI improves, but broader structure remains tilted to downside.
  • Break below 0.7800 exposes 0.7775 and 0.7748 support levels.

USD/CHF retreats during the North American session, yet extends edges lower 0.12% as the pair clashes with the confluence of a key resistance area comprised by the 20-, 100- and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) at around 0.7842-57. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.7830.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/CHF's Monday recovery seems short-lived, as it faced a key resistance area that could push the pair down towards the 0.7800 mark. Market structure remains bearishly biased, but momentum suggests buyers are stepping in, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

In the short term, the USD/CHF might consolidate within the 0.7800-0.7860 range. A breach of the top of the range could open the door for further upside. The first resistance would be 0.7900, followed by the 200-day SMA at 0.7929. Overhead lies 0.7950, followed by the psychological 0.8000 mark.

Downwards, if sellers clear the key support trendline around 0.7800, it would pave the way for a test of the April 17 daily low at 0.7775, ahead of the March 10 daily low at 0.7748. Up next lies the March 2 cycle low of 0.7668.

USD/CHF Price Chart – Daily

USD/CHF daily chart

Swiss Franc Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies today. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.04%-0.07%0.41%-0.02%-0.21%-0.25%-0.12%
EUR0.04%-0.05%0.46%0.02%-0.19%-0.21%-0.07%
GBP0.07%0.05%0.49%0.05%-0.14%-0.16%-0.02%
JPY-0.41%-0.46%-0.49%-0.42%-0.64%-0.65%-0.50%
CAD0.02%-0.02%-0.05%0.42%-0.21%-0.24%-0.10%
AUD0.21%0.19%0.14%0.64%0.21%-0.02%0.12%
NZD0.25%0.21%0.16%0.65%0.24%0.02%0.14%
CHF0.12%0.07%0.02%0.50%0.10%-0.12%-0.14%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold keeps the bid tone in place; still below $4,400

Gold adds to the optimism seen in the second half of the week, trading with decent gains just below the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s advance finds traction in declining crude oil prices and fresh selling pressure on the US Dollar.

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital
If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The BoJ raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the policy phase had changed.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.