|

USD/CAD: Resistance remains 1.3725 – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session but is holding its minor improvement against the US Dollar (USD) around the 1.37 point. Improved risk appetite and firmer stock market trends are helpful for the CAD but the setback in crude prices over the past couple of sessions implies a slight downturn in the recent improvement in Canadian terms of trade and may help check CAD gains in the near-term, Scotiabank’s chief FX strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

CAD may push above 1.3725

“In the context of a generally softer USD, however, scope for CAD losses should remain limited and the potential for a further nudge up in the CAD (to the mid/upper 1.36s) remains. Wholesale Sales today are expected to drop 0.6% in June, following the weak May report (-0.8%). Estimates are in line with the preliminary data provided with the last report.”

“The CAD is making marginal technical headway against the USD after securing a clear push under USD support at 1.3725 this week. The break under retracement support (61.8% of the June/July move up) targets additional losses to at least 1.3675, possibly 1.36.”

“The USD’s push under the 40-day MA (also around 1.3725) implies a broader shift in tone may be developing for USD/CAD. Resistance remains 1.3725, ahead of 1.3765/75.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA at $4,425, but for how long?

Gold is attempting a tepid recovery toward $4,500 early Thursday, as renewed optimism in the Mideast geopolitical front calms market nerves. This cautious optimism across Asian markets weighs on Oil prices, and diminishes the US Dollar’s safe-haven appeal, helping Gold stage a decent comeback from the weekly low of $4,424.

 

Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.