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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Struggles at 1.3300 but holds to gains, amid bearish technical pattern

  • USD/CAD forms a bearish engulfing pattern and struggles to breach the 1.3300 mark, signaling a possible downside.
  • Pair is currently neutral but might dip further with key support at the 20-day EMA and potentially slide to YTD low.
  • If 1.3300 is reclaimed, USD/CAD may challenge the 50-day EMA before tackling significant resistance at 200 EMA and 1.3400.

USD/CAD bounces off the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3278 after forming a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, which suggests further downside is expected. Nevertheless, dynamic support spurred a jump in the USD/CAD exchange rates but fell short of cracking the 1.3300 figure. At the time of writing, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3286 after hitting a daily high of 1.3304.

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/CAD remains neutral biased, capped on the upside by strong resistance levels, like the 50, 200, and 100-day EMAs, each at 1.3354, 1.3383, and 1.3411, respectively. Additionally, a bearish engulfing candle pattern suggests the pair might dip lower, with the 20-day EMA being the first support at 1.3278.

A breach of the latter will expose July’s 4 daily low of 1.3203. once cleared, the USD/CAD could extend its slide to the year-to-date (YTD) low of 1.3116.

Conversely, if USD/CAD reclaims 1.3300, the 50-day EMA at 1.3354 would be up for grabs. Next, resistance levels would emerge at the 200 EMA before buyers challenge 1.3400. Once broken, the USD/CAD could test the 100-day EMA at 1.3411.

USD/CAD Price Action – Daily chart

USD/CAD Daily chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3287
Today Daily Change0.0014
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1.3273
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3244
Daily SMA501.3392
Daily SMA1001.3489
Daily SMA2001.3503
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3387
Previous Daily Low1.3266
Previous Weekly High1.3387
Previous Weekly Low1.3203
Previous Monthly High1.3585
Previous Monthly Low1.3117
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3312
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3341
Daily Pivot Point S11.323
Daily Pivot Point S21.3188
Daily Pivot Point S31.3109
Daily Pivot Point R11.3351
Daily Pivot Point R21.343
Daily Pivot Point R31.3472

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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