US Initial Jobless Claims increased to 199K last week
- Initial Jobless Claims ticked higher to 199K vs. the previous week.
- Continuing Jobless Claims rose to 1.801M.
According to a report from the US Department of Labor (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance rose marginally to 199K for the week ending August 1. The latest print came in below initial estimates (202K) and was slightly higher than the previous week’s 198K (revised from 197K).
Additionally, the 4-week moving average shrank by 4.5K, bringing it to 198.75K from the revised average of the previous week (203.25K).
The report also indicated that Continuing Jobless Claims went up by 24K to 1.801M for the week ending July 25.
Market reaction
The Greenback regains some balance and reverses two daily pullbacks in a row, lifting the US Dollar Index (DXY) to the 99.80 region amid marginal gains.
Employment FAQs
Labor market conditions are a key element to assess the health of an economy and thus a key driver for currency valuation. High employment, or low unemployment, has positive implications for consumer spending and thus economic growth, boosting the value of the local currency. Moreover, a very tight labor market – a situation in which there is a shortage of workers to fill open positions – can also have implications on inflation levels and thus monetary policy as low labor supply and high demand leads to higher wages.
The pace at which salaries are growing in an economy is key for policymakers. High wage growth means that households have more money to spend, usually leading to price increases in consumer goods. In contrast to more volatile sources of inflation such as energy prices, wage growth is seen as a key component of underlying and persisting inflation as salary increases are unlikely to be undone. Central banks around the world pay close attention to wage growth data when deciding on monetary policy.
The weight that each central bank assigns to labor market conditions depends on its objectives. Some central banks explicitly have mandates related to the labor market beyond controlling inflation levels. The US Federal Reserve (Fed), for example, has the dual mandate of promoting maximum employment and stable prices. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) sole mandate is to keep inflation under control. Still, and despite whatever mandates they have, labor market conditions are an important factor for policymakers given its significance as a gauge of the health of the economy and their direct relationship to inflation.
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