|

US: Focus on Fed speak and trade data – TDS

Analysts at TD Securities point out that in the US, NY Fed President Williams speaks on "The Economic Outlook: The 'New Normal' Is Now" and is likely to repeat that no further rate hikes until inflation rises, which should get a dovish market reaction.

Key Quotes

“If Williams again advocates "average inflation targeting" as part of the Fed's framework review, markets would react even more dovishly.”

“The shutdown-delayed December trade balance data will be released on Wednesday, with the market consensus expecting another widening of the trade gap to $57.9 billion.”

“The publication of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book will also garner attention as market participants look for further clues regarding the evolution of economic activity at the start of the year.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD renews two-month lows near 0.6950 after Australian CPI data

AUD/USD is renewing two-month lows near 0.6950 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as below-expectations August Australian underlying CPI data pours cold water on expectations for further RBA interest rate hikes. Chinese PMI data also fail to inspire the Australian Dollar, despite a pause in the US Dollar advance.

USD/JPY trades below 157.50 as Japan's weak data and bullish USD lend support

USD/JPY extends its consolidative price move during the Asian session on Wednesday, trading below mid-157.00s. Hawkish BoJ expectations, along with intervention risks, underpin the Japanese Yen, though dismal domestic data cap gains. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears push US bond yields to fresh multi-year highs. Moreover, the US-Iran standoff supports a bullish US Dollar and acts as a tailwind for the currency pair.

Gold consolidates below $4,200 as bullish USD and Fed hike bets offset softer bond yields

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's recovery from an eight-week low, consolidating below $4,200 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The overnight slide in oil prices eased the US Treasury bond rout, supporting the bullion. However, Fed rate-hike bets and inflationary concerns keep bond yields near multi-year highs. Moreover, geopolitical uncertainties underpin the safe-haven US Dollar, which, in turn, caps the commodity.

Ethereum sees profit-taking near $2,700 ahead of key US economic data
Ethereum (ETH) has shown signs of profit-taking near $2,700 over the past few days, with rising exchange deposits and a slowdown in exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows ahead of US inflation and labor market data releases. The top altcoin's Exchange Reserves, which track the total amount of a crypto asset held across exchange wallets, have increased by roughly 125K ETH since Friday.
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?