|

US Dollar Index (DXY) approaches mid-99.00s amid fading Iran de-escalation hopes

  • DXY attracts some dip-buyers amid persistent geopolitical risks stemming from Middle East tensions.
  • Iran denies that it had held talks with the US to end the war, contradicting Trump’s overnight remarks.
  • Inflation fears fuel hawkish Fed expectations, pushing US bond yields higher and underpinning the USD.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, regains positive traction following the previous day's downfall to a nearly two-week low and climbs to the 99.35 area during the Asian session on Tuesday. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of the US Dollar (USD) bulls.

President Donald Trump said on Monday that the US had held productive conversations with Iran and that a deal could be reached soon. The optimism, however, fades rather quickly after Iran denied that it had held talks with the US to end the war in the Gulf. Adding to this, reports of strikes on Iran’s gas infrastructure raised the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, which triggers a fresh wave of the global risk-aversion trade and benefits the USD's global reserve currency status.

According to the Iranian semi‑official Fars news agency, a gas company office and a pressure‑reduction station were hit in Iran’s central city of Isfahan. Adding to this, a projectile reportedly struck a gas pipeline feeding a power station in Khorramshahr. Moreover, a severe disruption of energy trade due to the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and assists Crude Oil prices to catch fresh bids. This revives inflation fears and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, underpinning the USD.

In fact, the CME Group's FedWatch Tool indicates minimal to no chance of a rate cut by the end of this year. The outlook, in turn, leads to a modest rise in the US Treasury bond yields and turns out to be another factor lending support to the Greenback. The aforementioned supportive factors validate the near-term positive outlook for the buck and support the case for a further intraday appreciating move for the DXY. Traders now look forward to the release of the global flash PMIs for some impetus.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.22%0.26%0.13%0.17%0.55%0.34%0.22%
EUR-0.22%0.01%-0.11%-0.05%0.32%0.12%-0.00%
GBP-0.26%-0.01%-0.09%-0.07%0.31%0.10%-0.02%
JPY-0.13%0.11%0.09%0.06%0.44%0.22%0.12%
CAD-0.17%0.05%0.07%-0.06%0.37%0.16%0.05%
AUD-0.55%-0.32%-0.31%-0.44%-0.37%-0.21%-0.35%
NZD-0.34%-0.12%-0.10%-0.22%-0.16%0.21%-0.12%
CHF-0.22%0.00%0.02%-0.12%-0.05%0.35%0.12%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD slips below 0.7000 as RBA hike fails to offset US election woes

The Aussie Dollar drifts lower against the US Dollar late on Tuesday as the US midterm elections are underway, while progress toward a potential diplomatic exit from the US-Iran war stalls after Iran denied claims it was close to a deal. The AUD/USD trades at 0.6965, down 0.44%.

USD/JPY fails near 159.00 amid weak USD, intervention risks

USD/JPY edges lower during Tuesday’s Asian session, reversing part of the previous day's gains to 158.00 as the US Dollar remains depressed amid hopes for Iran diplomacy and ahead of US midterm elections. Meanwhile, intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, though the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike caps gains. This keeps the pair confined within a familiar range and warrants caution before placing directional bets.


Gold struggles near $3,900 as traders assess Middle East developments,US election risks

Gold (XAU/USD) loses momentum on Tuesday as Oil prices rebound after the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported a US strike on Iran’s Qeshm Island. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,909, down 0.93% on the day.

Ethereum: US-led selling keeps ETH below $2,309 realized price
Ethereum (ETH) faces pressure near $2,300 on Tuesday as it struggles to recover its realized price. The top altcoin fell below its realized price, or investors' average on-chain cost basis, at $2,309 following the $6.3 billion Binance hack last Thursday.
US Dollar Index edges up within range with midterm elections front and centre

The US Dollar Index is picking up from session lows but remains within previous ranges, below 102.00. The Greenback is drawing support from hostilities in Iran and higher Oil prices, but US political uncertainty is capping gains.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.