|

United Kingdom: Resilience tested as data mixed – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley reviews recent United Kingdom (UK) data against Eurozone performance. Foley notes Eurozone Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at 0.4% q/q and a 0.7% UK upturn in the three months to May. However, UK monthly data show sectoral contractions and composite PMIs in May and June indicating weakness, leaving a confusing backdrop and wide GDP forecast dispersion ahead of the release.

Mixed growth signals and confidence concerns

"Despite the headwinds stemming from the (near) closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the first estimate of Eurozone Q2 GDP registered a better than expected 0.4% q/q."

"In the three months to May, the UK economy managed a 0.7% upturn, compared with the three months to February."

"However, while the monthly May data brought a better-than-expected growth rate of 0.1% m/m, they demonstrate that despite a 0.3% m/m rise in the services sector, both production and construction contracted."

"Moreover, UK composite PMI data for both May and June indicate contraction, perhaps highlighting the dent to confidence stemming from the Iran war."

"This confusing backdrop may explain the wide spread in economists’ forecasts ahead of tomorrow’s release."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains, hovers around 1.3520 on US CPI data

GBP/USD adds to the weekly move higher and keeps the trade above the 1.3500 threshold on Wednesday. Cable’s extra recovery follows the modest selling pressure on the Greenback after US CPI readings matched consensus in July.

EUR/USD retargets 1.1550 on US inflation

EUR/USD picks up some traction and flirts with the 1.1550 region on Wednesday. The pair’s modest advance comes as the US Dollar gathers some steam after US CPI data matched estimates last month.

Gold clings to gains above $4,400 post-US CPI

Gold reverses the recent weakness and reclaims the area past the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The precious metal’s recovery picks up pace and exceedes the $4,400 level in the wake of the release of in-line US inflation figures in July and the marginal gains in the US Dollar.

Ripple lags recovery as exchange reserves expand

Ripple is trading within a broadly constrained technical structure, with support at $1.00 and key moving averages limiting its recovery potential. In August, the remittance token declined by approximately 6.5%, extending its total pullback to around 14% from July's $1.18 peak.

911 million shares freed: Why SpaceX rallied into its own supply

The most heavily trailed supply event of the year landed on August 6, and the SpaceX (SPCX) stock went up. Roughly 911.5 million shares held by insiders and early backers became eligible to trade, around 43% more than the entire float sold at the listing.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.