|

Swiss Franc: Further losses seem capped against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CHF has surged over the past two days, with strong momentum pointing to further Dollar strength. However, they stress that deeply overbought conditions are likely to cap upside to the 0.8305–0.8330 area. Short-term support is highlighted at 0.8270 and 0.8255, while the broader rebound is seen lacking momentum to revisit the July peak.

Upside seen limited by resistance

"24-HOUR VIEW: USD rose sharply over the past two days, reaching a high of 0.8296 yesterday. Strong momentum points to further USD strength, but given the deeply overbought conditions, this could limit any gains to a test of 0.8305. Support is at 0.8270; a breach of 0.8255 would indicate that the immediate upward pressure has eased."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: TWe revised our view from positive to neutral on Tuesday (22 Sep, spot at 0.8210), indicating that USD “is likely to trade in a range between 0.8155 and 0.8255.” USD broke above 0.8255 two days ago, and yesterday, it rose further and reached a high of 0.8296. While the renewed upward momentum suggests USD could rise further, deeply overbought conditions point to relatively limited upside, likely a test of 0.8330. The upside risk will remain intact as long as USD holds above 0.8225 (‘strong support’ level)."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum edge lower, XRP extends recovery as macro headwinds weigh

The broader cryptocurrency market is consolidating on Friday, with Bitcoin paring losses slightly above $84,000. Ethereum declines in tandem with BTC. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, paints a different picture.



Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which
The Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.