|

SPY goes back to opex

S&P 500 had visible trouble extending Monday‘s gain far, and no rally into key earnings served as warning. The relief rally following very weak opex Friday, seems to have run its course – and downside risks are reappearning again, meaningfully. GOOG earnings were welcome on the financial side, but then fatigue over AI expenses contribution to the bottom line set in – and in TSLA case, the disappointment over financials was enough. TXN would be the first to recover from the less than deserved decline – and so will NVDA following the opening bell.

But in spite of the Russell 2000 upswing and yields with the dollar moving down from here soon, the S&P 500 bear flag approximating pattern on the daily, reinforces the warning of what‘s ahead should today‘s session turn out weak. Fnancials, discretionaries and general market breadth speak clearly when merely yesterday‘s session is taken into account.

Here‘s how I summed it up in our channel – together with the bond market chart.

Chart
Chart

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY extends sell-off below 157.00 on hawkish BoJ repricing

USD/JPY extends sell-off below 157.00 in European trading on Thursday. Traders react negatively to the weak US ADP report, smashing the US Dollar across the board and exerting renewed selling pressure on the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks continue to lend support to the Japanese Yen, rendering it negative for the major.

AUD/USD ranges above 0.7150 despite upbeat Chinese PMI

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from a nearly two-week low and ranges above 0.7150 in Asia on Thursday, as dismal Australian trade data counter upbeat China's RatingDog Services PMI. However, the pair's upside remains in check as the US Dollar stalls the weak ADP report-led slide amid escalating US-Iran tensions and firming September Fed rate-hike bets.

Gold sticks to gains below $4,450 amid weaker USD

Gold maintains its bid tone heading into the European session, though it remains below $4,450 amid mixed fundamental cues. Sliding US bond yields and Wednesday's soft US ADP report weigh on the US Dollar, assisting the commodity build on the previous day's goodish recovery from a nearly four-week low. That said, firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations and inflation risks stemming from higher energy prices could act as a tailwind for US bond yields.

XRP defends key support, XLM awaits breakout as derivatives strengthen
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) show divergent technical outlooks as traders assess whether the recent weakness could give way to a recovery. XRP is finding support and defining a key support zone, while XLM slips below a cluster of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
ISM Services PMI Preview: US service sector expected to expand in August

On Thursday, we’ll get the latest read on the US service sector when the Institute for Supply Management publishes its August gauge. Consensus points to a marginal improvement to 54.3 from July’s 54.1. If confirmed, the reading would reinforce the sector’s resilience and offer a modest boost to confidence in the broader economy. The ISM will publish the Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on Thursday at 14:00 GMT.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.