|

S&P 500: Record high faces conflict headwinds – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank strategists report the S&P 500 closed at a fresh record, supported by strong earnings and tech leadership, even as most constituents declined. Futures now point lower as the Iran conflict and higher Oil prices weigh on risk sentiment. Upcoming US PMIs and jobless claims are seen as key tests for the resilience of US equities.

Earnings strength versus Oil shock

"US equities actually performed quite strongly yesterday, with the S&P 500 (+1.05%) closing at a new record high. That got support from corporate earnings, and Boeing (+5.53%) was one of the top performers in the index after their cash outflow was smaller than expected by analysts."

"Otherwise, tech stocks did well, with the NASDAQ (+1.64%) reaching a new record of its own, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor index (+2.72%) posted a record 16th consecutive advance. That said, the breadth of the advance was quite narrow, with most of S&P 500’s constituents falling on the day."

"After the US close, Tesla was the first of the Mag 7 to report earnings, with its shares initially rising by almost 5% on a solid earnings beat, but this gain was erased by the end of after-hours trading as executives unveiled that capex will exceed $25bn this year, roughly three times last year’s level. Meanwhile, IBM’s shares slumped by -7% after hours as its software revenues only just met analyst expectations."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds near 1.3300 amid pre-Fed market caution

GBP/USD corrects higher following the bearish action seen in the early European session and holds steady at around 1.3300 on Tuesday. The pair struggles to gather recovery momentum as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from the cautious stance ahead of the two-day US Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting.

EUR/USD rebounds from monthly low, stays below 1.1400

EUR/USD manages to pull away from the one-month low it set near 1.1350 but remains well below 1.1400 on Tuesday. The uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict weighs on risk mood and limits the pair's upside, while investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of the highly anticipated Fed meeting.

Gold closes in on $4,000 ahead of FOMC decision

Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its offered on Tuesday and declines toward the $4,000 psychological level. This follows the previous day's failure to find acceptance above the $4,100 mark and suggests that the path of least resistance for the bullion remains to the downside amid a bullish US Dollar (USD), which draws support from escalating geopolitical tensions ahead of the cricital FOMC meeting.

Bitcoin slips below $64,000 as risk-off sentiment grips markets
Bitcoin (BTC) is extending its correction, trading below $64,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday after losses of over 2.5% the previous day. Institutional demand shows early signs of weakness, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a mild outflow on Monday, marking three consecutive days of withdrawals.
Indian Rupee outlook: Downtrend set to persist – Just at a slower pace
The Indian Rupee just endured its most brutal six-month stretch in years, battered by a perfect storm of global shocks. From United States (US)-India trade uncertainty to surging Oil prices and the significant outflow of Foreign Institutional Investment (FII) from the Indian stock market, every event brought nothing but pain for the Indian currency.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.