Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD hesitates at $62.00 after a two-day rally

XAG/USD pulls back to the $61.70 area after being rejected ahead of $63.00.
Low Oil prices and a depressed US Dollar are keeping Silver's downside attempts limited so far.
Silver's near-term bias remains bullish while above $60.70.

Guillermo Alcala FXStreet

Silver (XAG/USD) consolidates gains in the $61.70 area after being rejected ahead of $63.00. The pair is trimming gains on Thursday, after following a nearly 7% rally over the last two days, but downside attempts remain limited so far, as lower Oil prices and a weak US Dollar keep providing support.

US macroeconomic data released earlier this week has failed to impress, raising fears about a poor Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday and prompting traders to scale back hopes of a Federal Reserve rare hike in September. US Treasury yields have dropped, with the yield of the benchmark 10-year note shedding about 10 basis points from last week's highs, while the 2-year yield, closely related to monetary policy expectations 18 basis points below July's peak. Lower yields tend to drive investors towards the yieldless precious metals.

Technical Analysis: The immediate trend remains bullish while above $60.70

XAG/USD trades at $61.72, showing a corrective reaction, as the last two days' rally was looking overextended. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (14) is pulling back from overbought levels but remains in bullish territory, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is above zero, all in all showing that buyers retain control.

The near-term bias remains bullish while above a previous resistance at the $60.70-$60.95 area, which capped bulls several times in July. Further down, Wednesday's low, at $59.40, might provide some support ahead of the weekly low, near $56.50.

On the upside, bulls are likely to struggle at July's peak, near $63.30. Further up, the next target is the June 22 high, just above $67.00.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Silver FAQs

Why do people invest in Silver?

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Which factors influence Silver prices?

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

How does industrial demand affect Silver prices?

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves?

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

Author

Guillermo Alcala

FXStreet

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

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