Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD pulls back from five-month high near $34.50

Silver price remains below the five-month high of $34.49, reached on Friday.
Safe-haven demand for Silver remains strong as investors seek protection amid rising risk aversion ahead of US tariffs next week.
As US Treasury yields decline, Silver, a non-yielding asset, may find support and regain momentum.

Akhtar Faruqui FXStreet

Silver price (XAG/USD) retreated after gaining over 2% in the previous session, trading near $34.30 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Friday. Despite the retreat, safe-haven demand for Silver remains strong amid heightened risk aversion, driven by escalating trade tensions ahead of new US tariffs next week.

US President Donald Trump recently imposed a 25% tariff on foreign-made cars and auto parts, triggering retaliation threats from the European Union and Canada. This has fueled concerns of a broader trade dispute and potential global economic fallout.

Silver, a non-yielding asset, could regain its footing as US Treasury yields decline. At the time of writing, the 2-year and 10-year yields stand at 3.99% and 4.34%, respectively. However, Moody’s has warned that increased tariffs and tax cuts could significantly widen government deficits, potentially leading to a US debt rating downgrade and higher Treasury yields.

Meanwhile, US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 2.4% in Q4 2024, exceeding the 2.3% forecast, according to data released on Thursday. Investors now turn their attention to Friday’s US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for further insight into the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy stance. The Fed held rates steady last week but reaffirmed expectations for two rate cuts by year-end.

Boston Fed President Susan Collins noted on Thursday that the central bank faces a tough choice between maintaining a restrictive policy stance or acting preemptively to address potential economic deterioration. Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin cautioned that uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s trade policies could push the Fed toward a more cautious, wait-and-see approach than markets anticipate.

Silver FAQs

Why do people invest in Silver?

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Which factors influence Silver prices?

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

How does industrial demand affect Silver prices?

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves?

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

FXStreet

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

AUD/USD stays defensive below 0.7150 after Chinese data

AUD/USD remains on the back foot below 0.7150 in the Asian session on Tuesday, close to an over three-week low touched the previous day. US bond yields hold near multi-year highs ahead of the FOMC meeting and oil-driven inflation risks, supporting the US Dollar and weighing on the currency pair. Mixed Chinese activity data for August also fail to inspire the Aussie.

USD/JPY extends gains toward 155.00 amid USD resurgence

USD/JPY keeps pushing higher toward 155.00 early Tuesday, looking for more upside, as traders await the FOMC and BoJ meetings this week. Meanwhile, Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation risks keep US bond yields near multi-year highs, supporting the US Dollar and the pair. That said, a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ normalization path might continue to underpin the Japanese Yen and could limit USD/JPY's upside. .

Gold regains $4,300 as traders await FOMC meeting

Gold regains $4,300 in the Asian session on Tuesday, but remains vulnerable near a one-month low, touched the previous day. Fed rate-hike expectations and inflation concerns remain supportive of elevated US bond yields, underpinning the US Dollar and weighing on the non-yielding bullion. Bears, however, might wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC meeting on Wednesday before placing fresh bets.

WTI rises above $98.50 amid Middle East supply fears

West Texas Intermediate oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $98.60 per barrel during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Crude oil prices appreciate as traders continue to navigate heightened uncertainty over global supply.

Hard assets are entering their next explosive phase – Are you positioned?

It’s official: Commodities and Hard Assets have become the best-performing asset class of 2026. In a year defined by persistent inflation, geopolitical conflict, rising sovereign debt and intensifying supply disruption, capital is rotating aggressively into the one area governments cannot print and central banks cannot manufacture: scarce physical assets.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight

The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.