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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD slides further below $25.00, bears flirt with 23.6% Fibo.

  • Silver dives to a nearly two-week low on Wednesday and tests the 23.6% Fibo. level support.
  • Weakness below the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour charts will pave the way for further losses.
  • A sustained move back above the $25.20-$25.25 region will negate any near-term negative bias.

Silver comes under heavy selling following the previous day's modest bounce and drops to a one-and-half-week low during the first half of the European session on Wednesday. The white metal currently trades around the $24.70 area and flirts with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent rally from the YTD low - levels just below the $20.00 psychological mark touched in March.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 1-hour chart, meanwhile, is already flashing oversold conditions and is on the verge of breaking below the 30 mark on the 4-hour chart. Hence, any subsequent slide is more likely to find some support near the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, which if broken decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders.

This, in turn, will set the stage for an extension of the recent pullback from a one-year high, around the $26.10 area touched last week. The XAG/USD might then fall to the $24.40-$24.30 strong horizontal resistance breakpoint, now turned support, before eventually dropping below the $24.00 mark, towards testing the next relevant support near the 38.2% Fibo. level, around the $23.75 area.

On the flip side, the $25.00 psychological mark seems to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the $25.20-$25.25 supply zone. A sustained strength beyond will suggest that the corrective decline has run its course and lift the XAG/USD further towards the $25.80-$25.85 resistance en route to the $26.00 mark. Some follow-through buying will mark a fresh bullish breakout and pave the way for further gains.

Silver 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price24.7
Today Daily Change-0.50
Today Daily Change %-1.98
Today daily open25.2
 
Trends
Daily SMA2024.26
Daily SMA5022.57
Daily SMA10023.01
Daily SMA20021.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.32
Previous Daily Low24.93
Previous Weekly High26.09
Previous Weekly Low24.72
Previous Monthly High24.16
Previous Monthly Low19.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%25.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%25.08
Daily Pivot Point S124.98
Daily Pivot Point S224.76
Daily Pivot Point S324.59
Daily Pivot Point R125.37
Daily Pivot Point R225.54
Daily Pivot Point R325.76

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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