Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD rallies to mid-$21.00s, eyes 200-period SMA hurdle

Silver gained strong traction for the second straight day and recovered further from the monthly low.
Move beyond the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart should allow bulls to conquer the $22.00 mark.
Sustained weakness below the $21.00 round figure would shift the bias in favour of bearish traders.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

Silver built on Friday's solid recovery move from the $20.60 area, or the lowest level since May 13 and gained follow-through traction on the first day of a new week. This marked the second successive day of a positive move and pushed spot prices back closer to mid-$21.00 during the early European session.

From a technical perspective, any subsequent move up is more likely to confront stiff resistance near the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, currently around the $21.65-$21.70 region. Some follow-through buying should allow the XAG/USD to build on the momentum and aim back to conquer the $22.00 mark.

Sustained strength beyond the latter would negate any near-term negative outlook and be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. The XAG/USD might then accelerate the move towards an intermediate resistance near the $22.30 area en-route the $22.50-$22.60 hurdle and the $23.00 round-figure mark.

On the flip side, the daily low, around the $21.10 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside. A convincing break below, leading to a subsequent break through the $21.00-$20.90 support, would suggest that attempted recovery has run out of steam and shift the bias back in favour of bearish traders.

The next relevant support is pegged near the monthly low, around the $20.60 area touched on Friday, ahead of the YTD low, around the $20.45 region. The downward trajectory could get extended and drag the XAG/USD towards challenging the $20.00 psychological mark for the first time since July 2020.

Silver 4-hour chart

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price	21.46
Today Daily Change	0.31
Today Daily Change %	1.47
Today daily open	21.15

Trends
Daily SMA20	21.69
Daily SMA50	22.26
Daily SMA100	23.47
Daily SMA200	23.33

Levels
Previous Daily High	21.22
Previous Daily Low	20.62
Previous Weekly High	21.94
Previous Weekly Low	20.62
Previous Monthly High	23.28
Previous Monthly Low	20.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	20.99
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	20.85
Daily Pivot Point S1	20.77
Daily Pivot Point S2	20.39
Daily Pivot Point S3	20.16
Daily Pivot Point R1	21.38
Daily Pivot Point R2	21.6
Daily Pivot Point R3	21.99

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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