Silver Price Analysis: Silver tanks after a trendline break, eyes on $70
- Silver breaks the trendline and the 100-day SMA, confirming a bearish reversal.
- RSI weakens further, signaling strong downside momentum continuation.
- Break below $74 exposes $70 and $64.10 support levels.
Silver (XAG/USD) price tanks nearly 3.50% on Tuesday, clearing a key support trendline after printing a doji pattern on Monday, as markets remained uncertain about the outcome of US-Iran talks. Heightened tensions and a ceasefire about to expire are pushing the precious metals segment into a tailspin. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $77.02.
XAG/USD Price Analysis: Technical Outlook
Silver is shifting bearishly as price action cleared the 100-day SMA at $77.79 and broke a support trendline drawn from the March 23 lows, exacerbating a drop initially towards the 20-day SMA at $74.72.
Once XAG/USD clears $74, the next support would be the $70 figure, followed by the February 6 swing low of $64.10. A breach of the latter could challenge the March 23 low of $61.02.
On the upside, if Silver regains the $78.50 level, bullish momentum could build toward a near-term retest of $80. Beyond that, the next hurdle is the April 1 high at $83.05. A break above would expose further resistance at the March 13 high of $85.44, followed by the March 12 peak at $87.43 and the March 11 high at $89.42, ahead of the $90 psychological level.
XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.
