|

Oil: prices slide on halted strikes – Commerzbank

Commerzbank strategists report that Brent Oil opened over 7% lower under USD84 into the Asian session after President Trump said the United States (US) would hold off on new strikes against Iran. Despite OPEC+ approving a modest output increase for September, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, keeping Persian Gulf export disruptions and inflation concerns in focus.

Trump decision hits Brent sharply

"The dominant story heading into the Asian open is that Brent oil prices have opened lower by over 7% to under USD84. This followed reports over the weekend that President Donald Trump said the US would hold off on new strikes against Iran. Iran and other Gulf nations indicated they are working toward a deal."

"President Trump posted on social media that he had agreed to cancel the attack “subject to being able to rapidly make a DEAL”, adding “Get to work, everybody, and get it DONE”. Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman had reportedly urged Trump to refrain from further military action."

"On the energy front, OPEC+ approved a further increase of 188k barrels a day to collective output targets for September on Sunday, completing the theoretical unwinding of the 1.65mn barrels a day in voluntary cuts made in April 2023."

"The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, continuing to disrupt Persian Gulf oil exports and stoking inflation concerns across Asia and Africa."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD struggles above 1.1500 despite USD weakness

EUR/USD struggles with its recovery above 1.1500 in European trading on Monday, despite broad US Dollar weakness and improved risk sentiment. The USD loses traction following US President Trump's call off an attack on Iran and that talks between the two sides would happen on Monday. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding US-Iran negotiations and US ISM PMI data.

Gold extends range play below $4,100 as rebounding USD meets receding Fed hike bets

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest weekly bullish gap opening, and remains below the $4,100 mark heading into the European session. The US Dollar stages a modest recovery from its lowest level since June 17, which is seen capping the upside for the commodity. The upside for the USD, however, seems limited amid renewed hopes for a US-Iran peace deal and receding US Fed rate-hike expectations.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

Solana risks a steeper decline below $70 despite steady ETF inflows

Solana (SOL) is trading in the red, losing bullish momentum and remaining capped below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $75.68. SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds show resilience with a monthly inflow of $14.62 million in July, while the near-term retail support wanes with the funding rate turning negative.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.