|

Oil: Bearish setup as supplies normalise – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that Brent crude has dropped back toward USD 72 and near pre-war levels, with Oil pressured by a stronger US Dollar and growth concerns rather than supply alone. They argue that a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) and improving supply outlook have created a bearish backdrop, and sees scope for further Oil price declines as global supplies normalise.

Brent slide driven by USD and supply

"In commodities, Brent crude plummeted yesterday, trading around USD72/bbl. this morning and close to the pre-war levels."

"While much attention in the oil market remains on the supply situation, we think the stronger USD and associated growth worries are behind the drop."

"The hawkish turn by the Fed and rosier supply outlook have created a bearish environment for oil."

"While the USD rally has come a long way, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains low."

"Hence, oil prices could potentially fall further as global supplies normalise."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.3200 ahead of US PCE

GBP/USD clings to minor recovery gains, but remains below 1.3200 in the European session on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the pair appear limited amid UK political instability and rising expectations of US interest rate hikes this year. Traders await the US May PCE inflation data on Thursday for a clear direction.

EUR/USD defends 1.1350 as eyes turn to US PCE inflation

EUR/USD trades better bid above 1.1350 in European trading on Thursday. A pause in the US Dollar rally is helping the pair stay afloat. Markets look to the key US Personal Consumption Expenditures report for fresh trading impetus.

Gold consolidates around $4,000 ahead of US PCE data

Gold enters a bearish consolidation phase during the first half of the European session, and currently trades around the $4,000 psychological mark. The commodity sticks to its bearish bias for the third straight day, and remains close to the lowest level since November 2025, touched on Wednesday, as traders await the crucial US inflation data.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

Bitcoin nears make-or-break level ahead of US PCE data

Bitcoin recovers slightly, trading at $61,700 after reaching a new yearly low of $59,103 and a 21-month low the previous day. This bearish price action is supported by the ongoing institutional sell-off, which recorded an outflow of over $469 million on Wednesday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.